IWH issues warning of a new banking crisis

The coronavirus recession could mean the end for dozens of banks across Germany – even if Germany survives the economic crisis relatively unscathed. IWH President Reint Gropp warns of a potentially high additional burden for the already weakened real economy.

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IWH Bankruptcy Update: Much more jobs affected by corporate bankruptcy in Germany

Considerably faster than the official statistics, the IWH Bankruptcy Update provides a monthly update on corporate bankruptcy. Even though overall corporate bankruptcies remain constant, ever more employees are subject to employer bankruptcies in Germany.

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The Economy Adapts to the Pandemic

In the first half of 2020, the pandemic has exacted a heavy toll on the German economy, causing a slump in production that will not be fully recovered within the next year. According to IWH summer economic forecast, gross domestic product is expected to contract by 5.1% in 2020 and to increase by 3.2% in 2021.

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IWH investigates causes of populism

Is the increasing strength of populist parties due to economic causes? The IWH addresses this controversial question as the coordinator of an interdisciplinary research project, funded by the Volkswagen Foundation.

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IWH hosts award-winning US economist

The renowned Max Planck-Humboldt Research Award 2019 goes to Ufuk Akcigit, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. At the IWH, Akcigit aims to use innovative methods to investigate why the economy in eastern Germany is still lagging behind that in western Germany – and what role the privatisation process 30 years ago played in this.

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United by Inequality

How is Germany’s economy faring 30 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall? An IWH publication analyses how the country’s unification has progressed. The study presents many new findings, including on productivity differences between east and west, urban and rural development, as well as the availability of skilled labour.

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IWH leads large scale EU project on productivity

Is productivity growth slowing in industrialised countries? And if so, why? From the start of 2019, the IWH will be addressing these decisive questions as the leading coordinator of a new European research collaboration: MICROPROD is the largest EU project in the history of the institute.

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Figure It Out!

Number of corporate bankruptcies declines, but more jobs are affected

921

companies filed for bankruptcy in June 2020 in Germany. That is 10% less compared to the previous month.

13400
workers alone are employed at the 10% largest firms that filed for bankruptcy in June 2020, whereas in the first quarter of the year, employment in the top 10% bankrupt firms amounted to only 6,700 workers per month.

Press Releases

06.07.2020 • 13/2020

IWH issues warning of a new banking crisis

Abstract

The coronavirus recession could mean the end for dozens of banks across Germany – even if Germany survives the economic crisis relatively unscathed. An analysis by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) shows that many savings banks and cooperative banks are particularly at risk. Loans worth hundreds of billions of euros are on the balance sheets of the financial institutions concerned. IWH President Gropp warns of a potentially high additional burden for the already weakened real economy.

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03.07.2020 • 12/2020

IWH Bankruptcy Update: Much more jobs affected by corporate bankruptcy in Germany

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

The number of corporate bankruptcies declines but, compared to the beginning of the year, the number of affected employees per month recently doubled. This is the latest insight from the IWH Bankruptcy Update provided monthly by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

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01.07.2020 • 11/2020

IWH untersucht Folgen des Kohleausstiegs in Europa

Abstract

Wie verändert der Kohleausstieg die Gesellschaft – und wie kann Politik darauf reagieren? Diese Fragen untersuchen 14 europäische Partner in einem neuen interdisziplinären Forschungsprojekt. Dabei wird das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) ökonomische Folgen wie Arbeitslosigkeit und Abwanderung für ausgewählte Kohleregionen Europas analysieren. Die EU fördert das Gesamtprojekt für drei Jahre mit knapp drei Millionen Euro.

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17.06.2020 • 10/2020

High risk of corporate bankruptcy due to the corona shutdown

Abstract

The Corona shutdown increases the probability of corporate bankruptcy. An analysis based on corporate financial statements from 2014 to 2018 reveals that in the United Kingdom, 73% of shutdown firms are not able to cover interest expenses from earnings before interest and taxes if they lose one twelfth of annual turnover. In Germany, the fraction amounts to 81%.

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Veranstaltung
13
Jul 2020

14:15 - 15:45

IWH Research Seminar

Virtual Lecture: The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle

Gernot Müller (University of Tübingen)
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