Headwinds from Germany and abroad: institutes revise forecast significantly downwards

According to Germany’s five leading economic research institutes, the country’s economy shows cyclical and structural weaknesses. In their spring report, they revised their GDP forecast for the current year significantly downward to 0.1%. In the recent fall report, the figure was still 1.3%. 

Read more
Applauding on a business seminar!

IWH ranks top in research monitoring

The IWH comes fourth in the institute ranking of the “Forschungsmonitoring 2023” taking into account A and A+ publications, and also on a per capita basis. This puts the IWH ahead of all other economic research institutes in the Leibniz Association. The ranking is compiled by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich. It evaluates the publication performance of economists and research institutions in German-speaking countries. 

Read more

Risk in the financial sector: close ties between banks and supervisors

Many top managers at European banks move seamlessly to their supervisory authorities. An IWH study has revealed the extent of these personnel links for the first time. They can pave the way for lax regulation and jeopardise financial stability. Three things politicians should improve.

Read more

Blathering managers harm their company

If a senior executive refuses to give information to professional investors, the company's stock market value drops afterwards. This is shown in an IWH study after evaluating 1.2 million answers from telephone conferences.

Read more

Europe's top bankers: Risky business despite bonus cap

Ten years ago, the EU Parliament decided to limit the flexible remuneration of bank managers. But the cap on bonuses misses its target: Executive board members of systemically important European banks take high risks without changes. 

Read more

Stricter rules for banks can relieve real estate markets

Exuberant price levels in the German real estate market could further exacerbate an economic crisis. Fiscal instruments exert too little influence to contain this danger.

Read more

New database on Europe's real estate markets

Exclusively for non-commercial scientific purposes, the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI) provides a comprehensive overview of residential property offers for sale and rent in 18 European countries.

Read more

Communication instead of conflict – why are female CEOs so interesting for hedge funds

Female CEOs particularly benefit from the intervention of hedge fund activists due to their strong communication and cooperation skills. The value of female-led firms is enhanced more by the intervention of activist investors than that of firms with male CEOs.

Read more

Solidarity with Israel

The Alliance of Science Organisations in Germany stands in solidarity with Israel.

Read statement

Solidarity with Ukraine

The Alliance of Science Organisations in Germany draws consequences for academia.

Read more

The Halle Spirit

We provide independent research on economic topics that really matter and aim to enrich society with facts and evidence-based insights that facilitate better economic decisions. We focus on growth and productivity because we are convinced that economic prosperity enables people to lead happier lives. We provide young researchers a nurturing place to develop their competencies and to make the most of their skills. Working in flat hierarchies, we are driven by open-minded intellectual curiosity and we have the courage to share inconvenient insights.

Read more

What are you interested in?

Research Networks, Data and Policy Advice

Press Releases

27.03.2024 • 11/2024

East Germany's lead over West Germany in terms of growth is bound to shrink – Implications of the Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2024 for the East German economy

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

In 2023, the East German economy is expected to have expanded by 0.5%, while it shrank by 0.3% in Germany as a whole. The Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) forecasts an East German growth rate of 0.5% again for 2024, and a rate of 1.5% in 2025. The unemployment rate is expected to be 7.3% in 2024 and 7.1% in the following year.

Read press release

27.03.2024 • 10/2024

Joint Economic Forecast 1/2024: Headwinds from Germany and abroad: institutes revise forecast significantly downwards

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

According to Germany’s five leading economic research institutes, the country’s economy shows cyclical and structural weaknesses. In their spring report, they revised their GDP forecast for the current year significantly downward to 0.1%. In the recent fall report, the figure was still 1.3%. Expectations for the coming year are almost unchanged at 1.4% (previously 1.5%). However, the level of economic activity will then be over 30 billion euros lower due to the current weak phase.

Read press release

26.03.2024 • 9/2024

Inflationssorgen wirken sich negativ auf nachhaltiges Konsumverhalten aus

Professor Dr Sabrina Jeworrek
Abstract

Studie untersuchte Einflussfaktoren für den Kauf umweltfreundlicher Produkte

Read press release

12.03.2024 • 8/2024

Risk in the banking sector: four out of ten top supervisors come from the financial industry

Professor Michael Koetter, PhD
Abstract

Europe's banks realise excess returns on the stock market when their alumni join the boards of national supervisory authorities. A study by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) shows that this happens more frequently than previously recognised. The findings indicate a risk to financial stability and call for a more merit-based, transparent appointment of senior regulators.

Read press release

Media Centre

Facts and Figures

Current Publications

Media Centre

Current Events

Veranstaltung
02
Apr 2024

14:15 - 15:45

IWH Research Seminar

Lost in Transition: Financial Barriers to Green Growth

Maarten de Ridder  London School of Economics
View event
Browse all events

IWH at a Glance

105
IWH people
17
nations
19
research groups
Mitglied der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft LogoTotal-Equality-LogoSupported by the BMWK