Ist das AfD-Wahlprogramm für Sachsen-Anhalt finanzierbar? — Kosten und Gegenfinanzierung vor der Landtagswahl am 6. September 2026
Nic Dorsch, Reint E. Gropp, Alexander Reifschneider
IWH Policy Notes,
No. 2,
2026
Abstract
Das Wahlprogramm der AfD Sachsen-Anhalt verspricht umfangreiche neue Leistungen, den Verzicht auf neue Schulden und niedrigere Steuern zugleich. Diese Policy Note beziffert, wie weit Kosten und Gegenfinanzierung auseinanderliegen. Von 136 kostenwirksamen Maßnahmen lassen sich 28 mit amtlichen Quellen belegen. Diese kosten rund 1,6 Mrd. Euro pro Jahr. Da das AfD-Programm neue Schulden ausschließt, kommen die im Landeshaushalt bereits eingeplanten 877 Mio. Euro jährlicher Neuverschuldung hinzu. Der bezifferbare Finanzierungsbedarf beträgt damit rund 2,5 Mrd. Euro pro Jahr. Dem stehen bei großzügiger Auslegung rund 243 Mio. Euro belegbare Einsparungen gegenüber. Von jedem Euro sind damit nicht einmal zehn Cent gedeckt. Es bleibt eine Lücke von mindestens 2,2 Mrd. Euro pro Jahr. Das entspricht rund einem Viertel der Steuereinnahmen des Landes, umgerechnet gut 1 000 Euro je Einwohner und Jahr. Da das Programm auch Steuererhöhungen ausschließt, ist unklar, wie die AfD diese Lücke schließen will.
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Klimaziele und Wachstum vereinbaren: Bedeutung der Energieproduktivität
Oliver Holtemöller, Christoph Schult
Wirtschaftsdienst,
Vol. 106 (5),
2026
Abstract
Die Energieproduktivität in Deutschland ist in den vergangenen Jahren gestiegen. Inwiefern lässt sich daraus auf eine Transformation des Energiesystems und der Produktion schließen? Der Beitrag zeigt, dass der Anstieg der Energieproduktivität nur begrenzt auf Effizienzfortschritte innerhalb von Sektoren zurückzuführen ist, sondern auch durch Strukturwandel und den Rückgang energieintensiver Produktion getrieben wird. Eine Projektion des Endenergieverbrauchs bis 2030 deutet darauf hin, dass die energiepolitischen Zielwerte bei schwachem Wirtschaftswachstum erreichbar sind. Bei höherem Wachstum würden sie jedoch verfehlt. Daraus ergibt sich ein Zielkonflikt zwischen Energieverbrauchsreduktion und wirtschaftlicher Dynamik; es braucht zusätzliche Effizienzgewinne oder technologische Innovationen um ihn aufzulösen.
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Current PhD Students
Current PhD Students Afroza Alam (Supervisor: Reint Gropp ) Annika Backes (Supervisors: Simon Wiederhold , Christoph Wunder ) Nic Dorsch (Supervisor: Reint Gropp) Arsène Buzima…
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Regulating Zombie Mortgages
Jonathan Lee, Duc Duy Nguyen, Huyen Nguyen
Review of Finance,
forthcoming
Abstract
Using the adoption of Zombie Property Laws (ZL) across several US states, we show that requiring lenders to maintain properties in the foreclosure process affects mortgage lending decisions and standards. Difference-in-differences estimations using a state border design show that ZL incentivizes lenders to screen mortgage applications more carefully: they deny more applications and impose higher interest rates on originated loans, especially risky loans. In turn, these loans exhibit higher ex post performance. ZL also affects lender behavior after borrowers become distressed, causing them to strategically keep delinquent mortgages alive. Our findings inform the debate on policy responses to foreclosure crises.
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The Health Costs of Losing Political Representation: Evidence From U.S. Presidential Elections
Sris Chatterjee, Iftekhar Hasan, Stefano Manfredonia
Plos One,
Vol. 20 (10),
2025
Abstract
We investigate whether a change in political leadership affects health outcomes. To do so, we exploit turnover elections that move partisan individuals into and out of alignment with the party of the President. We document that the lack of political alignment has a negative, immediate, and long-lasting effect on health. We do not find any evidence that our results can be explained by other confounding trends or by changes in economic outcomes or other economic policies. Further results suggest that political sentiments and social isolation are important potential mechanisms in this setting and that lack of political representation affects the mental health of individuals.
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Do Tax Rates Affect Corporate Social Responsibility? A Natural Experiment From Corporate Tax Rate Changes
Yiwei Fang, Iftekhar Hasan, Qiang Wu
Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance,
forthcoming
Abstract
Get access Abstract This study examines how changes in state corporate tax rates affect corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance among U.S. firms. Using staggered state-level tax reforms and a difference-in-differences (DiD) design, we identify an asymmetric causal effect: tax cuts significantly enhance CSR performance by reducing concerns, whereas tax increases only marginally weaken CSR strengths. Drawing primarily on signaling theory, complemented by slack resource and stakeholder perspectives, we argue that tax cuts expand financial slack, enabling firms to use CSR as a positive signal of financial strength, long-term orientation, and responsible use of tax savings. In contrast, firms avoid cutting CSR significantly after tax hikes to prevent negative signaling. In support of the theories, our heterogeneity analyses show that these effects are stronger among financially constrained firms and are concentrated in material CSR issues that are financially relevant to investors. A domain-level analysis further reveals that tax increases reduce environmental strengths, while tax cuts lower concerns related to employee relations, diversity, and environmental practices. These findings highlight how tax policy shapes CSR through its impact on financial flexibility and stakeholder expectation, offering implications for corporate strategy and public policy.
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When Protecting Children Hits the Bottom Line: Evidence From SDG2000 Firms
Wiebke Szymczak
Scandinavian Journal of Management,
Vol. 42 (2),
2026
Abstract
Intergenerational justice is a core principle of sustainability, yet empirical metrics on the impact of business on future generations remain scarce. Moreover, evidence suggests that different ESG scores capture distinct dimensions of corporate responsibility, highlighting the need for more targeted assessments. This study examines the relationship between corporate engagement with children’s rights and financial performance using a dataset of 1672 firm-year observations, combining a novel children’s rights benchmark with Refinitiv’s financial and sustainability metrics. Results indicate a negative association between marketplace ratings, assessing firms’ child welfare considerations in marketing, and accounting-based profitability, even when controlling for ESG subscores. However, no similar relationship emerges in stock market performance. These findings highlight potential tensions between corporate responsibility and short-term financial outcomes, emphasizing the role of regulatory frameworks and stakeholder engagement in balancing financial and social objectives.
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Institutional Blockholders and Corporate Innovation
Bing Guo, Dennis Hutschenreiter, David Pérez-Castrillo, Anna Toldrà-Simats
Journal of Corporate Finance,
Vol. 100 (July),
2026
Abstract
The previous literature finds a positive effect of institutional (relative to other investors’) ownership on firms’ innovation output . We study the impact of increases in the concentration of institutional investors’ ownership on firms’ decisions to invest in innovation and their innovation output. By reducing short-term earnings pressure, concentrated institutional investors’ ownership increases managers’ incentives to invest in R&D. However, it decreases firms’ acquisitions of external innovation due to empire-building and dilution concerns. Overall, firms’ future patents and citations decrease. Our results indicate that the previously found positive effect of institutional investors on innovation declines as the ownership of these investors becomes more concentrated. Despite that, we find that blockholder institutional ownership increases firm value. Hence, large institutional investors take measures to preserve the value of their ownership interests, even if they result in reduced innovation.
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Political Network and Muted Insider Trading
Wei Chen, Xian Gu, Iftekhar Hasan, Hao Zhao, Yun Zhu
Journal of Applied Corporate Finance,
forthcoming
Abstract
This paper examines how political networks influence insider trading in China. Using biographical data to construct chairman–politician social networks, we find that firms with stronger political networks engage in significantly less insider trading. The effect is stronger for non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs) and for long-standing or high-ranking connections. The muted trading persists during periods when insiders possess valuable private information, including prior to M&A announcements and major policy events. The evidence suggests that personal political networks function as informal governance mechanisms that discipline managerial opportunism when formal governance through state ownership is absent.
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Up the Political Ladder: The Role of Political Networks
Xian Gu, Iftekhar Hasan, Bingzhi Zhang, Linda Zhao, Yun Zhu
Journal of Financial Stability,
Vol. 84 (June),
2026
Abstract
Drawing on detailed career and biographical data of Chinese politicians, this study builds a dynamic social network for all political elites in China and examines the selection process of provincial-level politicians. Using regression and tree-based machine learning techniques and leveraging individuals’ global centrality within political networks, we unveil the relative importance of economic performance, political networks, and career trajectory in determining the selection of provincial leaders. Our findings highlight the critical role of network embeddedness.
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