Launch of the European Real Estate Index (EREI): German housing prices continue to rise more slowly than in Europe

Growth in asking prices for German residential properties offered for sale has lagged the European EREI aggregate since spring 2025. This is shown by the new European Real Estate Index (EREI) presented today by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH). This novel data service hinges on more than 43 million listings on online real estate platforms and provides monthly comparisons of residential asking prices and advertised rents across 1,154 European regions in near-real-time.

Authors Michael Koetter

EREI sheds light on the dynamics in regional property markets already before official transaction-based data become available. The latest EREI figures provide an initial answer (see Figure 1). In July 2026, the asking-price index for Germany's sale segment rose by 1.2% month on month, while the EREI Europe aggregate edged down by 0.1%. Since March 2025, the increase has been 2.5% in Germany and 6.6% in the Europe aggregate. EREI makes these price developments visible for 1,154 small-scale regions in 16 European countries.

 

Real estate is of central importance to the economy and financial stability because it links the balance sheets of households, banks, and firms. Housing accounts for around 50–72% of households’ net wealth, depending on the wealth group. At the same time, real estate lending exposures made up almost 40% of euro area banks’ loans and advances in 2022. Changes in property values therefore affect wealth and consumption in the real economy as well as, collateral and bank risk in the financial system. Because financing structures, home ownership, and interest-rate fixation vary considerably across regions, even the common monetary policy in the euro area has markedly different local effects across Europe. The new data service EREI allows additional opportunities to analyse the spatial transmission of monetary and other policies.

EREI is based on online advertisements for residential property. Every month it reports asking prices per square metre, the number of listings and time on market for properties offered for sale and, where available, for rent. The published series starts in April 2024, and quality-checked monthly figures are generally released during the following month. EREI therefore complements official transaction-price statistics with faster, more geographically detailed signals (see Figure 2). A comparison with official transaction data confirms the reliability of the EREI in capturing regional price levels: in the five largest markets examined (Germany, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands, and Spain), EREI data closely track actual property transaction prices.

“Asking prices are not the same as the prices ultimately paid. They do, however, provide an early and highly localised view of housing, for example where it is particularly expensive and how markets are diverging,” says Michael Koetter, Head of the Financial Markets Department and Vice President at the IWH, who leads the team that developed the EREI. “Because national averages can conceal large local differences, EREI opens up new opportunities for research and economic policy analysis at more granular levels.”

IWH President Reint Gropp welcomes the new data service as a tool for policy advice: “Property prices affect household wealth, the supply of credit and financial stability at the same time. EREI provides a public data resource that helps us identify regional developments earlier and supports better-informed policymaking.”

European Real Estate Index (EREI) data can be accessed via an interactive dashboard or application programming interface (API) at:  erei.iwh-halle.de/dashboard/. 

Publications
Michael Koetter, Felix Noth, Fabian Woebbeking: European Real Estate Index (EREI) 2026: A Near-real-time European Real Estate Index EREI: Monthly Listing Prices and Rents for Residential Real Estate. IWH Technical Reports 2/2026. Halle (Saale) 2026.

Michael Koetter, Felix Noth, Fabian Woebbeking: Do Online Real Estate Listing Prices Gauge Transaction Prices (Well)? Evidence from Novel Near-Real-Time Data. IWH Discussion Papers 13/2026. Halle (Saale) 2026.

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European Real Estate Index (EREI) 2026: A Near-real-time European Real Estate Index EREI: Monthly Listing Prices and Rents for Residential Real Estate

Michael Koetter Felix Noth Fabian Woebbeking

in: IWH Technical Reports, 2, 2026

Abstract

Real estate is a capstone connection between various economic agents and markets. It is the main store of household wealth, serves as collateral for mortgage loans in the banking system, aids the transmission of monetary policy, and can propagate financial crises when overvalued. Yet comparable house-price data across the European Union (EU) and the euro area is unavailable, which hinders the design and evaluation of common monetary and economic policy that operates across heterogeneous housing markets. We derive monthly subnational European Real Estate Indicators (EREI) from online residential property advertisements in 16 European countries. The release covers April 2024 to June 2026 and contains 48,168 region-month-segment observations for 1,154 NUTS 3 regions, aggregating more than 43 million listing observations across the monthly sale and rental cross-sections. Each region-month segment reports the number of advertisements and summary statistics for asking prices per square meter and listing durations. The release also includes sale-segment indices for Europe, the euro area, and individual countries. Thirteen covered countries are EU members, which represented 85% of EU-27 gross domestic product in 2024. EREI data support research on a wide range of socio-economic phenomena associated with real estate dynamics, such as the evaluation of monetary policy or macroprudential policy effects on financial stability.

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umschlag_DP_2026-13.jpg

Do Online Real Estate Listing Prices Gauge Transaction Prices (Well)? Evidence from Novel Near-Real-Time Data

Michael Koetter Felix Noth Fabian Woebbeking

in: IWH Discussion Papers, 13, 2026

Abstract

We show that online listing prices closely approximate transaction prices across Europe. Our validation uses the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI), a near-real-time database of monthly purchase prices, rents, listing counts, and time on market for 1,154 NUTS-3 regions in 16 countries since April 2024. With publication lags as short as one month, validated listing prices offer a timely, comparable complement to official house price statistics. Purchase price levels correlate between 0.94 and 0.97 with transaction prices in the five most populous markets, while calibration slopes range from 0.95 to 1.00. Aggregate listing prices exceed benchmark transaction prices by 13% to 22%.

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