Economic Slowdown reaches Central and Eastern Europe: Problematic Poland
Axel Brüggemann, Thomas Linne
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 12,
2001
Abstract
Forecast for central and Eastern Europe for 2001 and 2002. Discussion of the high risk potential for financial crises in Poland as measured by the IWH early warning system and an analysis of the underlying reasons for this development.
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Innovative and international – with local personnel: Results of a survey of New Economy enterprises in Saxony and Thuringia
Cornelia Lang, Ralf Müller
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 12,
2001
Abstract
BT and IT firms in Saxony and Thuringia were surveyed about their recruiting activities, the scope of their product markets and their R&D activities. The major findings are: The majority of firms engage in product and process development, their product markets are not predominantly local markets, and that they recruit their labor force in the local labor market. The latter fact is explained by the existence of the modern infrastructure in higher learning and research in the new Länder (which formerly constituted the GDR). Consequently the firms are optimistic to be also able to attract highly qualified personnel in the future.The recently enacted law, which grants a number of work permits for highly qualified jobs (green card) is therefore of no great significance to these firms.
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IWH Industry Survey July 2001: East German industry increasing experiences economic slackening
Bärbel Laschke, Udo Ludwig
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 11,
2001
Abstract
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Housing vacancies in East Germany: There is more than one way to look at it
Peter Franz
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 11,
2001
Abstract
New up-to-date data about housing vacancies in East German cities allow a more differentiated interpretation of the disparities in the East German housing market. The data show that the cities in Saxony and in Saxony-Anhalt
are disproportionally affected by this problem. They also show that the modernizing and renovating activities of the housing associations and cooperatives themselves contribute to the rising vacancy rate.
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Business cycle in Germany: Bottom phase almost completed
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 10,
2001
Abstract
In the report, the economic situation in Germany and in the Eurozone in the current year 2001 and in the following year 2002 is analyzed and forecasted in detail. Due to the unfavorable global economic situation and the unexpectedly high inflation, GDP growth has been slowing down in Germany in the year 2001. In 2002, growth will regain momentum. In the remaining course of this year, inflation will abate, thus allowing the European Central Bank leeway for an ease in monetary policy, provided wage increases remain moderate. Due to the cyclically lower revenues and higher expenditures, the public deficit will be temporarily higher than projected in the Stability Program. This should not be counteracted so as not to further endanger economic growth. The main National Accounts data for Germany are summarized in a detailed table in the appendix.
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The economic situation and development in the East German construction industry – a company specific empirical analysis based on the IWH Construction Industry Surveys and the IAB company panel
Brigitte Loose
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 136,
2001
Abstract
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An early indicator for the development in the East German producing sector
Klaus Weyerstraß
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 144,
2001
Abstract
Die Einschätzung der künftigen ökonomischen Entwicklung spielt für die Entscheidungen der Wirtschaftssubjekte sowie der wirtschaftspolitischen Entscheidungsträger eine wichtige Rolle. Im Falle Ostdeutschlands ist der Bedarf an einem Frühindikator besonders groß, da zur Zeit keine unterjährige Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung veröffentlicht wird. Zudem wird das Konjunkturphänomen in Ostdeutschland durch Sonderentwicklungen überlagert. In diesem Diskussionspapier wird ein Frühindikator für die künftige Entwicklung im produzierenden Gewerbe Ostdeutschlands dargestellt. Dieser wird aus amtlichen Daten (Auftragseingänge, Zinsstruktur) sowie IWH-Umfragen gebildet.
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The Export Orientation of East German Manufacturing Industry in the Process of Economic Transformation: Evidence from Company Panel Data
Udo Ludwig, Brigitte Loose
Economics of Transformation – Theory, Experiences and EU-Enlargemnet. INFER Annual Conference 2001,
2001
Abstract
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The East-West entrepreneurial gap – a crucial economic problem in East Germany?
Gerhard Heimpold
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 9,
2001
Abstract
The ratio of business units per inhabitant is one of the most important factors that determine the development of economies and regions, because it has a strong impact on competition, employment and innovation. In East Germany, where the process of catching up has decelerated since the mid-nineties, the findings on this topic are ambivalent: on the one hand, half a million self-employed persons are counted and a similar number of companies are registered by the regional Chambers of Industry and Commerce. Furthermore, about 157.000 companies engaged in handicraft exist. These figures can be regarded as a success compared to the beginning of the nineties at the outset of systemic transformation. On the other hand, a striking entrepreneurial gap in East Germany still exists compared to the situation in the western part. It seems that this gap will not be closed in the near future, even on the contrary: the number of newly registered business units in East Germany has declined. Against this background, the promotion of entrepreneurship will remain a great challenge on the political agenda.
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Overall economic production in East Germany grows slightly despite international cyclical weakness
Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, Brigitte Loose, Udo Ludwig
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 7,
2001
Abstract
The article deals with the economic development in East Germany up to the
year 2002. It is shown the strong influence of the capacity adjustments in construction
and state sectors on the economic growth. Moreover the article analyzes
in detail the chances and problems of the sectors “manufacturing“ and “construction“ with productivity and unit labor costs playing the central part in restoring their competetiveness.
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