13.12.2018 • 21/2018
Economic activity in the world and in Germany is losing momentum
In the second half of 2018, the upturn of the German economy has stalled. Production of the automotive industry declined because of delays in switching production to WLTP compliant cars. Irrespectively of this, the German export business has been weakening since the beginning of the year, since the global economy, burdened by the political uncertainties surrounding trade conflicts, the impending Brexit and the conflict over the Italian budget, was unable to keep up with the high momentum of 2017. “It is to be expected that the less benign external environment will not only dampen exports, but will also impact on companies’ investment and hiring decisions”, says Oliver Holtemöller, head of the Department Macroeconomics and vice president at Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH). Gross domestic product is expected to increase by 1.5% in 2018 and by 1.4% in 2019, which is roughly equal to the growth rate of economic capacity in Germany.
Read press release
Establishing Evidence-based Evaluation Methods for Subsidy Programmes in Germany (EVA-KULT)
Establishing Evidence-based Evaluation Methods for Subsidy Programmes in Germany (EVA-KULT) ...
See page
Reports of the European Forecasting Network (EFN)
Reports of the European Forecasting Network (EFN) The European Forecasting...
See page
Financial Stability
Financial Stability Dossier ...
See page
The New Europe
The new Europe The financial crisis is largely over, yet confidence in the ECB and EU...
See page
Cumurovic
Financial Literacy and Self-employment ...
See page
The Political Economy of the European Banking Union
The Political Economy of the European Banking Union ...
See page
Ludwig (Interview)
About the CIA and a glass of red wine ... Professor Dr Udo Ludwig on the...
See page
Loose (Interview)
When there were almost no flats in Halle yet ... Brigitte Loose about IWH's...
See page
