IWH Subsidy Database
IWH Subsidy Databse The microdatabase currently comprises nine data sets on direct business subsidy programmes in Germany. The programme statistics kept by the project sponsors…
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21.05.2025 • 17/2025
Uncertainty Holds Back European Economy ‒ Report by AIECE, a Network of European Economic Research Institutes
The AIECE Association of European Economic Research Institutes has today published its bi-annual General Report, following the Spring 2025 Meeting held in Oslo hosted by Statistics Norway. The Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) is a long-time member of this network and regularly contributes its economic expertise to the joint analyses and forecasts. On average, AIECE member institutes forecast EU GDP to grow by of 1.2% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026. The average forecast for Euro Area GDP growth is 1.0% and 1.3%. These forecasts are a bit more optimistic than those presented in the OECD's March 2025 Interim Report and the IMF's Spring 2025 World Economic Outlook.
Axel Lindner
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Joint Economic Forecast
Joint Economic Forecast The Joint Economic Forecast analyses and forecasts the economic situation in Germany. The forecasts are produced twice a year, in spring and autumn. The…
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IWH Flash Indicator
IWH Flash Indicator The IWH Flash Indicator is a forecasting tool which provides early information on economic development. While the German Federal Statistical Office publishes…
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Alumni
IWH Alumni The IWH maintains contact with its former employees worldwide. We involve our alumni in our work and keep them informed, for example, with a newsletter. We also plan…
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Board Announcements
Board Announcements Apr 27, 2026: Evaluation Report Nov 06, 2025: Evaluation 2025: feedback Nov 03, 2025: Evaluation 2025: important information Oct 02, 2025: Second Trial…
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Alumni
Alumni IWH provides guidance and support in job placement after graduation, including letters of recommendation and career advice. Graduates have found placements in academia…
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Research Clusters
Three Research Clusters Each IWH research group is assigned to a topic-oriented research cluster. The clusters are not separate organisational units, but rather bundle the…
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10.04.2025 • 14/2025
In East Germany, as in the west, the economy is in crisis - Implications of the Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2025 and new data for the East German economy
In 2024, the economy in East Germany shrank by 0.1% and in Germany as a whole by 0.2%. The Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) expects stagnation for East Germany in 2025 and growth of 1.1% in 2026. According to the IWH forecast, the unemployment rate is expected to be 7.8% in both 2025 and 2026, after 7.5% in 2024.
Oliver Holtemöller
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10.04.2025 • 13/2025
Joint Economic Forecast 1/2025: Geopolitical turn intensifies crisis – structural reforms even more urgent
The German economy will continue to tread water in 2025. In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of just 0.1% for the current year. For 2026, the institutes expect gross domestic product to increase by 1.3%. In the short term, the new US trade policy and economic policy uncertainty are weighing on the German economy. The additional scope for public debt should gradually have an expansionary effect, but threatens to crowd out private consumption and private investment.
Oliver Holtemöller
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