Regulierung internationaler Finanzmärkte und Banken
Die Forschungsgruppe "Regulierung internationaler Finanzmärkte und Banken" analysiert internationale Kapitalströme und die Auswirkungen von Regulierungsänderungen auf die Finanzstabilität. Integrierte Finanzmärkte begünstigen eine effiziente Kapitalallokation und Risikoteilung – sie erleichtern aber auch die grenzüberschreitende Übertragung von Schocks.
Dementsprechend hat sich die Bankenregulierung in den letzten Jahren weiterentwickelt, wobei die vollen Auswirkungen dieser Reformen noch unklar sind. Daher konzentriert sich die Forschung der Gruppe auf zwei Bereiche:
Erstens werden die Haupttreiber internationaler Kapitalströme und deren Auswirkungen auf Finanzstabilität untersucht. Zeiten hoher Finanzintegration sind oft gefolgt von Krisen mit nachhaltigen realwirtschaftlichen Folgen. Ziel ist es, zu verstehen, wie eine stabile und effektive Kreditvergabe gewährleistet werden kann.
Zweitens wird untersucht, wie sich Veränderungen in der Regulierung und Aufsicht auf das grenzüberschreitende Bankgeschäft auswirken, insbesondere im Kontext der europäischen Integration. Dazu gehört die Bewertung des Trade-offs zwischen regulatorischer Harmonisierung und unbeabsichtigten Marktverzerrungen.
Zwei Datenprojekte tragen zu diesen Forschungsthemen bei: die International Banking Library, eine webbasierte Plattform für den Forschungsaustausch mit einem vierteljährlichen Newsletter, der mehr als 700 Abonnenten erreicht, und die Financial Markets Directives Database, die die Umsetzung der wichtigsten EU-Vorschriften im Bereich Finanzmärkte mit besonderem Schwerpunkt auf der Europäischen Bankenunion dokumentiert. Gemeinsam fördern sie eine evidenzbasierte Politikanalyse und erhöhen die Sichtbarkeit der Gruppe.
Forschungscluster
Wirtschaftliche Dynamik und StabilitätIhr Kontakt
- Abteilung Finanzmärkte
PROJEKTE
04.2025 ‐ 03.2030
The Role of Multinational Enterprises in the Global Financial Cycle (Programme for Women Professors)
Leibniz-Gemeinschaft
10.2021 ‐ 06.2025
Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policies in Europe (DEMAP)
Leibniz-Gemeinschaft
Das Projekt untersucht wie politische Maßnahmen auf dem Level der Europäischen Union, wie zum Beispiel der European Recovery Fund, die Ungleichheit zwischen Haushalten beeinflusst.
02.2021 ‐ 01.2023
Banken als Intermediäre staatlicher Subventionen an den Realsektor – Was sind die Implikationen für Finanzmarktstabilität und allokative Effizienz?
Deutsche Bundesbank
07.2017 ‐ 12.2022
Die politische Ökonomie der europäischen Bankenunion
Europäischer Sozialfonds (ESF)
Ursachen für nationale Unterschiede in der Umsetzung der Bankenunion und daraus resultierende Auswirkungen auf die Finanzstabilität.
01.2015 ‐ 12.2017
Dynamic Interactions between Banks and the Real Economy
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)
Referierte Publikationen
Financial Stability and Central Bank Governance
in: International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 10 (4), 2014
Abstract
The financial crisis has ignited a debate about the appropriate objectives and the governance structure of Central Banks. We use novel survey data to investigate the relation between these traits and banking system stability focusing in particular on their role in micro-prudential supervision. We find that the separation of powers between single and multiple bank supervisors cannot explain credit risk prior or during the financial crisis. Similarly, a large number of Central Bank governance traits do not correlate with system fragility. Only the objective of currency stability exhibits a significant relation with non-performing loan levels in the run-up to the crisis. This effect is amplified for those countries with most frequent exposure to IMF missions in the past. Our results suggest that the current policy discussion whether to centralize prudential supervision under the Central Bank and the ensuing institutional changes some countries are enacting may not produce the improvements authorities are aiming at. Whether other potential improvements in prudential supervision due to, for example, external disciplinary devices, such as IMF conditional lending schemes, are better suited to increase financial stability requires further research.
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Bank Productivity and Internationalization Decisions
in: Journal of Banking and Finance, 2014
Abstract
Differences in firm-level productivity explain international activities of non-financial firms quite well. We test whether differences in bank productivity determine international activities of banks. Based on a dataset that allows tracking banks across countries and across different modes of foreign entry, we model the ordered probability of maintaining a commercial presence abroad and the volume of banks’ international assets empirically. Our research has three main findings. First, more productive banks are more likely to enter foreign markets in increasingly complex modes. Second, more productive banks also hold larger volumes of foreign assets. Third, higher risk aversion renders entry less likely, but it increases the volume of foreign activities conditional upon entry.
The Impact of Public Guarantees on Bank Risk-taking: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
in: Review of Finance, Vol. 18 (2), 2014
Abstract
In 2001, government guarantees for savings banks in Germany were removed following a lawsuit. We use this natural experiment to examine the effect of government guarantees on bank risk-taking. The results suggest that banks whose government guarantee was removed reduced credit risk by cutting off the riskiest borrowers from credit. Using a difference-in-differences approach we show that none of these effects are present in a control group of German banks to whom the guarantee was not applicable. Furthermore, savings banks adjusted their liabilities away from risk-sensitive debt instruments after the removal of the guarantee, while we do not observe this for the control group. We also document that yield spreads of savings banks’ bonds increased significantly right after the announcement of the decision to remove guarantees, while the yield spread of a sample of bonds issued by the control group remained unchanged. The evidence implies that public guarantees may be associated with substantial moral hazard effects.
Do Banks Benefit from Internationalization? Revisiting the Market Power–Risk Nexus
in: Review of Finance, Vol. 17 (4), 2013
Abstract
We analyze the impact of bank internationalization on domestic market power (Lerner index) and risk for German banks. Risk is measured by the official declaration of regulatory authorities that a bank is distressed. We distinguish the volume of foreign assets, the number of foreign countries, and different modes of foreign entry. Our analysis has three main results. First, higher market power is associated with lower risk. Second, holding assets in many countries reduce market power at home, but banks with a higher share of foreign assets exhibit higher market power. Third, bank internationalization is only weakly related to bank risk.
Initial Evidence from a New Database on Capital Market Restrictions
in: Panoeconomicus, Vol. 59 (3), 2012
Abstract
One of the key obstacles to the empirical analysis of capital controls has been the unavailability of a detailed set of indicators for controls that cover a broad set of countries over a range of years. In this paper, we propose a new set of indicators derived from the Annual Reports on Exchange Arrangements and Export Restrictions. Contrary to most earlier attempts to construct control indicators from this source, our set of indices allows one to analyze the control intensity separately for inflow, outflow and repatriation controls. An additional set of indicators features information on the institutional design of controls. At first glance, the data show that the financial crisis caused a surge in capital market restrictions, most notably concerning the derivatives market. This reflex, which is not justified by the scarce empirical evidence on the success of controls, shows the importance of having a valid measure to allow an econometrically sound policy evaluation in this field. The data are available from the author upon request.
Arbeitspapiere
Friend or Foe? Crowdfunding Versus Credit when Banks are Stressed
in: IWH Discussion Papers, Nr. 8, 2015
Abstract
Does bank instability push borrowers to use crowdfunding as a source of external finance? We identify stressed banks and link them to a unique, manually constructed sample of 157 new ventures seeking equity crowdfunding. The sample comprises projects from all German equity crowdfunding platforms since 2011, which we compare with 200 ventures that do not use crowdfunding. Crowdfunding is significantly more likely for new ventures that interact with stressed banks. Innovative funding is thus particularly relevant when conventional financiers are facing crises. But crowdfunded ventures are generally also more opaque and risky than new ventures that do not use crowdfunding.
Explaining Regional Disparities in Housing Prices across German Districts
in: IZA Institute of Labor Economics, March 2022
Abstract
Over the last decade, German housing prices have increased unprecedentedly. Drawing on quality-adjusted housing price data at the district level, we document large and increasing regional disparities: growth rates were higher in 1) the largest seven cities, 2) districts located in the south, and 3) districts with higher initial price levels. Indications of price bubbles are concentrated in the largest cities and in the purchasing market. Prices seem to be driven by the demand side: increasing population density, higher shares of academically educated employees and increasing purchasing power explain our findings, while supply remained relatively constrained in the short term.