IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcy Figures Remain Low; More Manufacturing Jobs Impacted
According to IWH data, 569 firms based in Germany filed for bankruptcy in September. This is very close to the all-time low registered last month (see figure 1). The number of firms declaring bankruptcy in September 2021 was also 15% below the already very low figure from September 2020 (when the temporary suspension of the filing requirement was still in place).
The largest 10% of firms filing for bankruptcy in September had just 3,700 employees in total, according to IWH data. The number of jobs affected by bankruptcy thus rose between August and September. However, this figure was still 62% lower than the equivalent figure from September 2020 (see figure 2).
The largest 10% of firms reporting bankruptcy between January 2020 and September 2021 employed a total of approximately 180,000 people. Manufacturing jobs comprised one-quarter of this total. However, 62% of the impacted jobs in September are in the manufacturing sector. This shift cannot be explained by the bankruptcy of a few large firms.
“Individuals who lose a manufacturing job often suffer wage losses that persist for many years,” explains Steffen Müller, the head of Department Structural Change and Productivity and the director of Bankruptcy Research at IWH, referring to a recent study on Germany that he co-authored.1 “When a major industrial firm goes bankrupt, employees can anticipate significant and lasting wage losses. These losses are many times higher than the losses incurred from the bankruptcy of small non-manufacturing firms,” Müller says.
The IWH Bankruptcy Update is a flash indicator, delivering fast, reliable information on insolvencies of firms with entry in the commercial register in Germany two months ahead of the comprehensive official statistics. It is based on public bankruptcy announcements of German courts combined with balance sheet information of the concerned firms. Deviations from official statistics are small (see figure 3). The IWH Bankruptcy Research Unit is among Germany’s leading investigators of the causes and consequences of corporate bankruptcy.
For more on the IWH Bankruptcy Research Unit and the methodology underlying it, please visit https://www.iwh-halle.de/en/research/data-and-analysis/iwh-bankruptcy-research/.
1 Fackler, D.; Müller, S.; Stegmaier, J.: Explaining Wage Losses after Job Displacement: Employer Size and Lost Firm Wage Premiums, in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2021.
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