21.01.2025 • 4/2025
Veranstaltungshinweis: „Die EU im Wettbewerb um Seltene Erden – Welcher Strategie folgen wir?“
Am 22. Januar 2025 veranstalten die Nationale Akademie der Wissenschaften Leopoldina und das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) die sechste Europa-Debatte in Halle (Saale). Ab 18:00 Uhr diskutieren renommierte Expertinnen und Experten am Leopoldina-Hauptsitz zum Thema "Die EU im Wettbewerb um Seltene Erden – Welcher Strategie folgen wir?". Die Veranstaltung ist öffentlich, um Anmeldung wird gebeten.
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The German Energy Crisis: A TENK-based Fiscal Policy Analysis
Alexandra Gutsch, Christoph Schult
IWH Discussion Papers,
Nr. 1,
2025
Abstract
We study the aggregate, distributional, and welfare effects of fiscal policy responses to Germany’s energy crisis using a novel Ten-Agents New-Keynesian (TENK) model. The energy crisis, compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic, led to sharp increases in energy prices, inflation, and significant consumption disparities across households. Our model, calibrated to Germany’s income and consumption distribution, evaluates key policy interventions, including untargeted and targeted transfers, a value-added tax cut, energy tax reductions, and an energy cost brake. We find that untargeted transfers had the largest short-term aggregate impact, while targeted transfers were most cost-effective in supporting lower-income households. Other instruments, as the prominent energy cost brake, yielded comparably limited welfare gains. These results highlight the importance of targeted fiscal measures in addressing distributional effects and stabilizing consumption during economic crises.
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