Prospects for 2002: Waiting for the cyclical change
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 1,
2002
Abstract
This article updates the complete analysis and forecast of the economic developments in the World and Germany in particular for 2002, as published in Summer. After six quarters of downturn, the beginning of 2002 does not show signs of a revival in economic activity. Neither internal nor external forces are currently strong enough to reverse the underlying downward trend. It is assumed that by spring time the recession in the USA will have faded. Resulting is a stimulus for the World Economy. This initiating impulse will revive production in Germany and the Euro Area, which by the second half of 2002 will gain pace. The increase in exports, as induced by the upturn in the US-Economy will positively affect domestic demand. With the usual time lag this development will also strengthen the job market. Monetary Policy will remain expansive and begins to show its full effect. Fiscal Policy, on the other hand, due to the need for consolidation, will remain restrictive.
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Current Trends - Share of students leaving school without having completed a basic degree has grown further
Cornelia Lang
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 1,
2002
Abstract
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Current Trends - Disequilibrium between demand and production in East Germany decreases
Udo Ludwig
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 16,
2001
Abstract
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Current Trends - East German Municipalities: The small(est) ones still dominate
Jens Müller
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 15,
2001
Abstract
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Current Trends - Decline of investment in construction industry in East Germany continues at high speed
Brigitte Loose
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 13,
2001
Abstract
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Current trends - In East Germany the number of privat housholds increases in spite of declining population
Ruth Grunert
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 12,
2001
Abstract
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Current trends – The economic situation in the Euro area – Turnaround still in 2001?
Udo Ludwig
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 11,
2001
Abstract
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Current trends – Municipal finances in East Germany: Considerable decline of investment spending; no improvements of revenues
Jens Müller
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 10,
2001
Abstract
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Current trends – Business cycle in Euro area takes a temporary dip
Michael Seifert
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 9,
2001
Abstract
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Current trends - Ireland - Model for future EU acceding countries?
Gerald Müller
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 7,
2001
Abstract
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