25 Years IWH

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German Upswing is Slowing Down

In summer 2018, the world economy is still rather strong. Dynamics in the euro area, however, have declined markedly, and the cyclical upswing in Germany has almost stalled, due to weaker exports. Gross domestic product will, according to this IWH forecast, expand by 1.7% in 2018 and by 1.6% in 2019.

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Figure It Out!

European Banking Union Implementation: Crisis countries implement at same speed than remaining EU countries

28
months

is the average delay of GIIPS countries.

own calculations
27
months
is the average delay of the remaining EU countries.
own calculations

Press Releases

14.06.2018 • 14/2018

Current economic outlook: German upswing is slowing down

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

In summer 2018, the world economy is still rather strong. Dynamics in the euro area, however, have declined markedly, and the cyclical upswing in Germany has almost stalled, due to weaker exports. “Gross domestic product will, according to this forecast, expand by 1.7% in 2018 and by 1.6% in 2019. Growth in East Germany will be about as strong as in Germany as a whole”, says Oliver Holtemöller, head of the Department Macroeconomics and vice president at IWH.

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28.05.2018 • 13/2018

Einladung zum Workshop „Europäische Wirtschaft stärken – Forschungsergebnisse aus dem Leibniz-Forschungsverbund ‚Krisen einer globalisierten Welt‘“

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

Im Rahmen des Leibniz-Forschungsverbunds „Krisen einer globalisierten Welt“ organisiert das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) gemeinsam mit dem ZEW, Zentrum für europäische Wirtschaftsforschung sowie dem Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Energie (BMWi) einen Workshop, der sich den Fragen zur Zukunft des internationalen Handels und der europäischen Integration widmet.

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25.05.2018 • 12/2018

The resistance of employers against works councils

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Germany votes. However, this time it’s not about the politicians – instead it’s about the works councils. It’s certainly worthwhile: Many studies have shown that works councils all in all have a positive impact on productivity, wages and profits. Despite this, employers are sometimes very resistant to the idea of staff involvement in company decision-making. A common argument is that such participation limits managerial freedom and that employers are willing to sacrifice the benefits of staff participation in return for greater room for manoeuvre. Steffen Müller from the Halle Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association now provides an alternative economic justification for employer resistance: Employer associations are dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises, and in these works councils – in contrast to large firms – often produce no positive economic benefits.

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15.05.2018 • 11/2018

IWH-Tarif-Check: Im Baugewerbe wird künftig auch real deutlich mehr gezahlt: Starker Anstieg der Tariflöhne, ostdeutsche Beschäftigte holen aber nicht weiter auf

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Birgit Schultz
Abstract

Nach monatelangen Tarifverhandlungen gibt es für die rund 800 000 Beschäftigten im Bauhauptgewerbe einen Schlichterspruch – und die bislang höchste Tariflohnvereinbarung Deutschlands in diesem Jahr: Die Beschäftigten im Tarifgebiet West bekommen zum 1. Mai 2018 5,7% mehr Lohn und insgesamt drei Einmalzahlungen: im November diesen Jahres 250 Euro, im Juni 2019 600 Euro und im November 2019 noch einmal 250 Euro. Im Tarifgebiet Ost steigen die Tariflöhne ab Mai 2018 sogar um 6,6% und im Juni 2019 dann um 0,8%. Dazu kommt eine Einmalzahlung im November 2019 in Höhe von 250 Euro je Beschäftigten. Doch wie viel vom Plus bleibt den Bauarbeitenden wirklich? Das IWH hat die realen Einkommenszuwächse berechnet.

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Stefanie Müller
Stefanie Müller
Press Officer

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2018 ASSA Annual Meeting

Presentations of IWH researchers at the ASSA annual conference 2018 in Philadelphia:

Paper Sessions:

Poster Sessions:

Discussions:

  • Michael Koetter: The Interest of Being Eligible (J.-S. Mésonnier, C. O'Donnell, O. Toutain)

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Jun 2018

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Jun 2018

Workshops and conferences

The 7th CompNet Annual Conference: Economic Growth, Trade and Productivity Dispersion

Gianmarco Ottaviano (London School of Economics), Ufuk Akcigit (The University of Chicago)
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