Recovery Loses Momentum – Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic

In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by roughly one percentage point for both this and next year. They now expect gross domestic product to fall by 5.4% in 2020 (previously -4.2%) and to grow by 4.7% (5.8%) in 2021 and 2.7% in 2022.

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IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies stabilise at low level

Considerably faster than the official statistics, the IWH Bankruptcy Update provides a monthly update on corporate bankruptcy. The number of bankruptcies remains low in September, but many more employees are subject to employer bankruptcies in Germany compared to the beginning of the year.

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IWH issues warning of a new banking crisis

The coronavirus recession could mean the end for dozens of banks across Germany – even if Germany survives the economic crisis relatively unscathed. IWH President Reint Gropp warns of a potentially high additional burden for the already weakened real economy.

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IWH hosts award-winning US economist

The renowned Max Planck-Humboldt Research Award 2019 goes to Ufuk Akcigit, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. At the IWH, Akcigit aims to use innovative methods to investigate why the economy in eastern Germany is still lagging behind that in western Germany – and what role the privatisation process 30 years ago played in this.

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United by Inequality

How is Germany’s economy faring 30 years after the reunification? An IWH publication analyses how the country’s unification has progressed. The study presents many new findings, including on productivity differences between east and west, urban and rural development, as well as the availability of skilled labour.

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IWH leads large scale EU project on productivity

Is productivity growth slowing in industrialised countries? And if so, why? From the start of 2019, the IWH will be addressing these decisive questions as the leading coordinator of a new European research collaboration: MICROPROD is the largest EU project in the history of the institute.

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The Halle Spirit

We provide independent research on economic topics that really matter and aim to enrich society with facts and evidence-based insights that facilitate better economic decisions. We focus on growth and productivity because we are convinced that economic prosperity enables people to lead happier lives. We provide young researchers a nurturing place to develop their competencies and to make the most of their skills. Working in flat hierarchies, we are driven by open-minded intellectual curiosity and we have the courage to share inconvenient insights.

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Zombie firms

17
percent

Despite of low interest rates, 11 % of German companies made no profit in 2018. An additional 6% were even making losses.

Press Releases

14.10.2020 • 22/2020

Economic slump in East Germany not as severe as in Germany as a whole ‒ Implications of the Joint Economic Forecast and new data for East Germany

Abstract

The German economy started recovering quickly after the drastic pandemic-related slump in spring 2020. The recovery, however, loses much of its momentum in the second half of the year. The Joint Economic Forecast predicts that production levels seen before the crisis will not be reached again until the second half of 2021. In principle, the East German economy is following this pattern, although the economic slump is likely to be somewhat milder.

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14.10.2020 • 21/2020

Recovery Loses Momentum ‒ Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic

Abstract

The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring. In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by roughly one percentage point for both this and next year. They now expect gross domestic product to fall by 5.4% in 2020 (previously -4.2%) and to grow by 4.7% (5.8%) in 2021 and 2.7% in 2022.

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08.10.2020 • 20/2020

Populistische Strömungen in Europa: Leopoldina und IWH laden zu Dialogveranstaltung ein

Abstract

Politische Spannungen in Europa nehmen zu und gefährden die europäische Integration. Angesichts der Coronavirus-Pandemie sowie ihrer Auswirkungen auf die Wirtschaft fordern populistische Parteien und Strömungen zunehmend eine Rückbesinnung auf nationales Vorgehen. Worin diese Europa-Skepsis begründet liegt und wie man auf sie reagieren kann, ist Thema einer gemeinsamen Dialogveranstaltung der Nationalen Akademie der Wissenschaften Leopoldina und des Leibniz-Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH). Zu dieser Veranstaltung laden wir Sie herzlich ein und freuen uns über eine redaktionelle Erwähnung in Ihrem Medium.

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06.10.2020 • 19/2020

IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies Stabilise at a Low Level; Number of Affected Jobs Remains High

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

The number of companies declaring bankruptcy in Germany was very low in September, and no significant increase is expected in the coming months. By contrast, the number of jobs impacted by corporate bankruptcies remained elevated in September; monthly layoff figures have increased significantly since the beginning of the year. These are the key findings of the IWH Bankruptcy Update, a monthly monitor of insolvency statistics published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

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Oct 2020

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IWH Policy Talk „Wirtschaft am Ende des Industriezeitalters: Wieso alte Ideologien nicht weiterhelfen und neue Konzepte nötig sind“

Thomas Straubhaar  Universität Hamburg
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