IWH Medium-Term Projection

The IWH medium-term projection shows: If Germany wants to stick to both its current debt brake and its climate protection target, the tax burden on households will increase and private consumption will be curbed accordingly.

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Blathering managers harm their company

If a senior executive refuses to give information to professional investors, the company's stock market value drops afterwards. This is shown in an IWH study after evaluating 1.2 million answers from telephone conferences.

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Europe's top bankers: Risky business despite bonus cap

Ten years ago, the EU Parliament decided to limit the flexible remuneration of bank managers. But the cap on bonuses misses its target: Executive board members of systemically important European banks take high risks without changes. 

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Stricter rules for banks can relieve real estate markets

Exuberant price levels in the German real estate market could further exacerbate an economic crisis. Fiscal instruments exert too little influence to contain this danger.

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New database on Europe's real estate markets

Exclusively for non-commercial scientific purposes, the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI) provides a comprehensive overview of residential property offers for sale and rent in 18 European countries.

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Communication instead of conflict – why are female CEOs so interesting for hedge funds

Female CEOs particularly benefit from the intervention of hedge fund activists due to their strong communication and cooperation skills. The value of female-led firms is enhanced more by the intervention of activist investors than that of firms with male CEOs.

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Alone at home: Isolation during the Corona pandemic increases likelihood of selfishness

Experiencing social distancing as a measure against the Corona pandemic led participants in an IWH study to make more selfish decisions. However, a reference to norm-consistent behaviour was able to reduce this effect. Focusing on exemplary behaviour could therefore alleviate the negative social consequences of the lockdown.

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Solidarity with Israel

The Alliance of Science Organisations in Germany stands in solidarity with Israel.

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Solidarity with Ukraine

The Alliance of Science Organisations in Germany draws consequences for academia.

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The Halle Spirit

We provide independent research on economic topics that really matter and aim to enrich society with facts and evidence-based insights that facilitate better economic decisions. We focus on growth and productivity because we are convinced that economic prosperity enables people to lead happier lives. We provide young researchers a nurturing place to develop their competencies and to make the most of their skills. Working in flat hierarchies, we are driven by open-minded intellectual curiosity and we have the courage to share inconvenient insights.

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Press Releases

21.02.2024 • 4/2024

Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose nimmt zur Jahresprojektion der Bundesregierung Stellung

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

Gemäß ihrem gesetzlichen Auftrag hat die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose heute als unabhängige Einrichtung ihre Einschätzung zur Jahresprojektion 2024 der Bundesregierung vorgestellt.

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08.02.2024 • 3/2024

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Zahl der Firmenpleiten weiterhin hoch – Corona-Hilfen für schwache Unternehmen sind ein Grund

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Nach dem Rekordwert im Dezember bleibt die Zahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften im Januar auf unverändert hohem Niveau, zeigt die aktuelle Analyse des Leibniz-Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH). Erklären lässt sich die heutige Lage auch mit den Staatshilfen während der Corona-Pandemie.

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12.01.2024 • 2/2024

Green transition and the debt brake: Implications of additional investment for public finances and private consumption in Germany

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

The German Climate Protection Act stipulates, among other things, that greenhouse gas emissions in Germany are to be reduced by 65% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. The green investments required to achieve this target are likely to amount to around 2.5% of gross domestic product each year. According to the medium-term projection of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), the associated additional government spending on public investment and support measures cannot be financed from projected tax revenues. It is therefore to be expected that the tax burden on households will increase and private consumption will be curbed accordingly, if both the current form of the debt brake and the greenhouse gas reduction targets are maintained.

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10.01.2024 • 1/2024

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Höchstwert bei Firmenpleiten im Dezember

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Die Zahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften ist im Dezember stark angestiegen, zeigt die aktuelle Analyse des Leibniz-Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH). Es war der höchste Wert für einen Dezember seit Beginn der Datenerfassung im IWH-Insolvenztrend im Jahr 2016. Für die kommenden Monate rechnet das IWH mit weiter steigenden Insolvenzzahlen.

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Veranstaltung
27
Feb 2024

14:15 - 15:45

IWH Research Seminar

The Heterogeneous Effects of Carbon Pricing: Macro and Micro Evidence

Federico Di Pace  Bank of England
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