German Economy not yet Immune to COVID 19 ‒ Outlook Clouded Again

The current pandemic wave and supply bottlenecks cause stagnation in winter. In spring, the economy will regain momentum. The IWH forecasts that German gross domestic product will increase by 3.5% in 2022, after 2.7% in 2021. Inflation is expected to decline only slowly.

Read more

Communication instead of conflict – why are female CEOs so interesting for hedge funds

Female CEOs particularly benefit from the intervention of hedge fund activists due to their strong communication and cooperation skills. The value of female-led firms is enhanced more by the intervention of activist investors than that of firms with male CEOs.

Read more

Alone at home: Isolation during the Corona pandemic increases likelihood of selfishness

Experiencing social distancing as a measure against the Corona pandemic led participants in an IWH study to make more selfish decisions. However, a reference to norm-consistent behaviour was able to reduce this effect. Focusing on exemplary behaviour could therefore alleviate the negative social consequences of the lockdown.

Read more

The Halle Spirit

We provide independent research on economic topics that really matter and aim to enrich society with facts and evidence-based insights that facilitate better economic decisions. We focus on growth and productivity because we are convinced that economic prosperity enables people to lead happier lives. We provide young researchers a nurturing place to develop their competencies and to make the most of their skills. Working in flat hierarchies, we are driven by open-minded intellectual curiosity and we have the courage to share inconvenient insights.

Read more

What are you interested in?

Research Networks, Data and Policy Advice

Figure It Out!

IWH economic forecast

3.5
percent

We forecast that the German gross domestic product will increase by 3.5% in 2022.

Press Releases

12.01.2022 • 1/2022

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Keine Insolvenzwelle trotz Omikron

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Nach historischen Tiefstständen ist die Anzahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften in den vergangenen Monaten leicht gestiegen. Dieser Trend hat sich im Dezember fortgesetzt, und auch die Zahl der betroffenen Jobs ist gestiegen. Für die nächsten beiden Monate ist trotz erwarteter Omikronwelle nicht mit einer Insolvenzwelle zu rechnen.

Read press release

15.12.2021 • 30/2021

Gutachten bescheinigt Projektionen der Bundesregierung insgesamt gute Qualität

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

Die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose hat untersucht, wie treffsicher die ökonomischen Vorhersagen der Bundesregierung in den vergangenen vier Jahren waren. Demnach schätzte der Bund die Entwicklung des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Durchschnitt zu optimistisch ein, die der Staatseinnahmen zu vorsichtig. Allerdings haben die Prognosen laut Gutachten keine systematische Schwäche. Der Hauptgrund für Fehler liegt in der Corona-Pandemie.

Read press release

14.12.2021 • 29/2021

German economy not yet immune to COVID 19 ‒ outlook clouded again

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

The current pandemic wave and supply bottlenecks cause the German economy to stagnate in winter. When infection rates go down in spring, private consumption will increase significantly. In addition, supply restrictions will be gradually reduced. As a result, the economy will regain momentum. The Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) forecasts that German gross domestic product will increase by 3.5% (East Germany: 2.7%) in 2022, after 2.7% (East Germany: 2.1%) in the current year. Inflation is expected to decline only slowly.

Read press release

07.12.2021 • 28/2021

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Leichter Anstieg der Insolvenzzahlen setzt sich fort

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Nach historischen Tiefstständen ist die Anzahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften in den vergangenen Monaten leicht gestiegen. Dieser Trend hat sich im November fortgesetzt. Die Zahl der betroffenen Jobs verharrt jedoch auf niedrigem Niveau. Das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) liefert mit dem IWH-Insolvenztrend ein monatliches Update zum bundesweiten Insolvenzgeschehen.

Read press release

Media Centre

Facts and Figures

Current Publications

Media Centre

Current Events

Veranstaltung
21
Feb 2022

14:15 - 15:45

IWH Research Seminar

Virtual Lecture: Trainspotting: Board Appointments in Private Firms

Egle Karmaziene  Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
View event
Browse all events

IWH at a Glance

100
IWH people
13
nations
18
research groups
Mitglied der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft LogoTotal-Equality-LogoWeltoffen Logo