An Assessment of Bank Merger Success in Germany
Michael Koetter
German Economic Review,
No. 2,
2008
Abstract
German banks have experienced a merger wave since the early 1990s. However, the success of bank mergers remains a continuous matter of debate.This paper suggests a taxonomy to evaluate post-merger performance on the basis of cost and profit efficiency (CE and PE). I identify successful mergers as those that fulfill simultaneously two criteria. First, merged institutes must exhibit efficiency levels above the average of non-merging banks. Second, banks must exhibit efficiency changes between merger and evaluation year above efficiency changes of non-merging banks. I assess the post-merger performance up to 11 years after the mergers and relate it to the transfer of skills, the adequacy to merge distressed banks and the role of geographical distance. Roughly every second merger is a success in terms of either CE or PE. The margin of success in terms of CE is narrow, as efficiency differentials between merging and non-merging banks are around 1 and 2 percentage points. PE performance is slightly larger. More importantly, mergers boost in particular the change in PE, thus indicating persistent improvements of merging banks to improve the ability to generate profits.
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Can Art Finance itself?
Sören Eisenbeiß, Niels Krap, Tobias Glufke
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 3,
2008
Abstract
Until 2003, public savings in the art sector have been immense. But lately there has been a tendency of increasing public expenditures in this field. Nevertheless one has to ask if these allowances are required to sustain artistic and cultural life.
If, however, art cannot be financed by the contributions of their consumers, the question arises whether and to which extend the government should pay for it. In spring 2007, we realized a survey in cooperation with the “neue theater“ in Halle and the “Anhaltisches Theater Dessau“. Among other subjects, we asked the audience to evaluate the current ticket prices. As a result, we analyzed how these theatres could adjust their ticket prices in order to reduce the need of public subsidies. The conclusion of this survey is that the visitors are reacting rather weakly to moderate price increases. So it can be stated that the theatres could in fact boost their revenues by appropriately raising their ticket prices. Unfortunately, the resulting extra revenue is not sufficient to finance the performing arts without the help of public subsidies.
Finally, an additional argument for subsidizing art is that not only the customers benefit from it, but also the society as a whole because of so-called positive external effects.
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To Whom to Peg? Evaluating the Optimum Currency Area for the Ruble
Stefan Eichler, Alexander Karmann
Der Einfluss der Globalisierung auf die wirtschaftliche und kulturelle Entwicklung - betrachtet aus russischer und deutscher Perspektive,
2008
Abstract
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Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?
Tobias Knedlik, Rolf Scheufele
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 17,
2007
Abstract
In this paper we test the ability of three of the most popular methods to forecast the South African currency crisis of June 2006. In particular we are interested in the out-ofsample performance of these methods. Thus, we choose the latest crisis to conduct an out-of-sample experiment. In sum, the signals approach was not able to forecast the outof- sample crisis of correctly; the probit approach was able to predict the crisis but just with models, that were based on raw data. Employing a Markov-regime-switching approach also allows to predict the out-of-sample crisis. The answer to the question of which method made the run in forecasting the June 2006 currency crisis is: the Markovswitching approach, since it called most of the pre-crisis periods correctly. However, the “victory” is not straightforward. In-sample, the probit models perform remarkably well and it is also able to detect, at least to some extent, out-of-sample currency crises before their occurrence. It can, therefore, not be recommended to focus on one approach only when evaluating the risk for currency crises.
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Business Incubators in Eastern Germany: Positive Interim Results
Michael Schwartz
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 12,
2007
Abstract
Business incubators (BIs) are local technology and innovation policy measures that have attracted a great deal of attention by cities and municipalities in Eastern Germany. The enthusiasm of local-policy makers has led to a current number of nearly 130 incubator organizations in Eastern Germany. The article is based on a wider research project that focuses on the evaluation of the effectiveness of five BIs in Eastern Germany. In this article, three key issues of BI-effectiveness are concerned: the incubation time of client and graduate companies, the technological competence of supported firms and the share of newly founded firms in the BIs. Empirical results are positive concerning the indicators incubation time and the share of start-ups in the BIs. Deficiencies of the five BIs are found regarding the technological competence of the supported firms. The article concludes with a short outlook on future research questions.
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Paradigm Shift in European Competition Law
Nicole Steinat
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 11,
2007
Abstract
During the last decade, European competition law went through several procedural changes, which were mainly influenced by US-American law. Economic criteria rather than legal parameters are now used to evaluate the conduct of firms. Such a “more economic approach” is apparent both in legislation and jurisdiction.
The article discusses the reforms that resulted from the paradigm shift by focusing on the legislation perspective as well as their impact in terms of cartels. One of the most important instruments in European competition policy is nowadays the Leniency Regulation, which was implemented in 1996. Another tool are the renewed Fining Guidelines, which in general will lead to higher fines.
Although European competition law adopted some instruments from American law, there are still major differences between the two jurisdictions. The possibility to impose jail sentences does not exist on a European level yet. However, a few European countries included criminal sanctions in their national laws.
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Steuern auf Grundbesitz - Kann die Besteuerungspraxis in Kanada ein Vorbild für andere Länder sein?
Martin T. W. Rosenfeld
Stärkung der subnationalen Steuerautonomie und intragovernmentale Transfers,
2007
Abstract
The article is evaluating the existing system of Property Taxation in Canada: how efficient is the system in general, and how is the Canadian Property Tax corresponding to the criteria for an efficient local taxation? The fiscal relevance of the Property Tax for Canada's cities is - as compared to other local revenues - much too high. But the Canadian Property Tax shows a lot of positive features. For local policymakers, the system of Property Taxation leads to strong incentives for measures which are able to increase or to stabilize the value of local property. In general, an adoption of some core features of the Canadian system of Property Taxation by European countries could be recommended.
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Determinanten des Erfolgs im Transformationsprozess der mittel- und osteuropäischen Länder - eine empirische Würdigung der Beiträge von Karl Wohlmuth
Tobias Knedlik
Ökonomische Systeme im Wandel der Weltwirtschaft/Economic Systems in a Changing World Economy - Festschrift zum 65. Geburtstag von Professor Dr. Karl Wohlmuth,
2007
Abstract
In his academic career Prof Dr Karl Wohlmuth is, among others, concerned with questions of the economics of transformation. In early contributions regarding the transformation process of Eastern European countries, he deducts policy recommendations for a success-ful transformation process. The present paper summarizes the analyses of Wohlmuth and empirically evaluates - as an ex post analysis - determinants of success in the transforma-tion process. The central question is whether the determinants as identified by Wohlmuth had a significant influence on the success of transformation. The results are that the factors ‘reform of the private sector’, ‘liberalization of the labor market’, and ‘fiscal consolidation’ have been of special importance. It could therefore be shown that the factors that have been early identified by Wohlmuth played in deed an important role in the transformation proc-ess. Thus, his recommendations are of relevance for the ongoing process of transformation.
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Der Turbo-Rater
Ulrich Blum, Olaf Neubert
Rating-Software Welche Produkte nutzen wem?,
2007
Abstract
The Turbo-Rater was developed to give small and medium sized firm the ability to generate an fast and easy rating approximation themselves. During a 30 month research project a selection of firms in the german state of saxony were rated. All rating were evaluated in the project to develop a basis rating approach. The application is based on the Microsoft Excel plattform and aims to prepare firm, which did not participate in the research project, to prepaire themselves for the Changes following the Basel II accord.
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Aid and Economic Freedom: An Empirical Investigation Using the Heritage Index
Tobias Knedlik, Franz Kronthaler
Journal of Development Perspectives,
No. 3,
2007
Abstract
The paper explores the relationships between economic freedom on the one side and development aid and IMF credit as approximation for conditional aid on the other side. After a short review of current literature, the paper develops a simple panel regression model to evaluate the relationships. In contrast to previous research, our results allow the rejection of the hypothesis that IMF credit increases economic freedom and that development aid is not contributing to economic freedom. It could not be shown that countries can be pushed towards economic freedom by aid conditions. The paper discusses explanations of the empirical findings.
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