Economic Forecasts
Economic Forecasts IWH regularly generates various economic forecasts for the...
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Economic Outlook
Joint Economic Forecast Autumn 2023 Purchasing Power Returns – Political Uncertainty High ...
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Ludwig (Interview)
About the CIA and a glass of red wine ... Professor Dr Udo Ludwig on the...
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Loose (Interview)
When there were almost no flats in Halle yet ... Brigitte Loose about IWH's...
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Macroeconomic Reports
Macroeconomic Reports Local and global: IWH regularly provides current economic...
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IWH Forecasting Dashboard
IWH Forecasting Dashboard The objective of the IWH Forecasting Dashboard ...
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29.09.2022 • 24/2022
The East German economy expanded strongly in the first half of 2022, but falls into recession in the second half of the year ‒ Implications of the Joint Economic Forecast Autumn 2022 and of Länder data from recent publications of the Statistical Office
The energy crisis is pushing the German economy into recession. This also affects the economy in East Germany. According to the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), East German production will expand at a slightly stronger rate of 1.5% than in Germany as a whole. For the coming year, the decline in East Germany is expected to be less pronounced than in the west at 0.1% (Germany: ‒0.4%). For 2024, the economists forecast a growth of 1.7% (Germany: 1.9%).
Oliver Holtemöller
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29.09.2022 • 23/2022
Joint Economic Forecast 2/2022: Energy crisis: inflation, recession, welfare loss
The crisis on the gas markets is having a severe impact on the German economy. Soaring gas prices are drastically increasing energy costs, leading to a massive reduction of the purchasing power. Despite a decline in the second half of the year, gross domestic product is expected to expand by 1.4% this year. For the coming year, the institutes expect a contraction by 0.4%, followed by an increase of 1.9% in 2024.
Oliver Holtemöller
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