The German Energy Crisis: A TENK-based Fiscal Policy Analysis
Alexandra Gutsch, Christoph Schult
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 1,
2025
Abstract
We study the aggregate, distributional, and welfare effects of fiscal policy responses to Germany’s energy crisis arising in 2022 using a novel ten-agent new Keynesian (TENK) model. The crisis, compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic, led to sharp price increases and significant consumption disparities. Our model, calibrated to Germany’s income and consumption distribution, evaluates key policy interventions. We find that untargeted transfers had the largest short-term aggregate impact, while targeted transfers for lower-income households were most cost-effective. Other instruments yielded comparably limited welfare gains. The results highlight how targeted fiscal measures can address distributional effects and stabilize consumption during crises.
Read article
Alumni
IWH Alumni The IWH maintains contact with its former employees worldwide. We involve our alumni in our work and keep them informed, for example, with a newsletter. We also plan…
See page
Gender Equality & Anti-Discrimination
Equal Opportunities at IWH IWH commits to actively promoting equal opportunities for men and women, going beyond already existing guidelines. In 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022 and again…
See page
Macroeconomic Reports
Macroeconomic Reports Local and global: IWH regularly provides current economic data – be it about the state of the East German economy, the macroeconomic development in Germany…
See page
East Germany
The Nasty Gap 30 years after unification: Why East Germany is still 20% poorer than the West Dossier In a nutshell The East German economic convergence process is hardly…
See page
Box 3.6.: Place-based industrial policies and credit markets: Evidence from the former East and West
Aleksandr Kazakov, Michael Koetter
EBRD Transition Report 2024-25,
December
2024
Abstract
The Transition Report 2024-25 focuses on industrial policies in the EBRD regions and beyond. Such policies have seen a resurgence, seeking to address market failures such as environmental degradation. However, their track record is mixed. Their growing popularity is shaped primarily by domestic political economy considerations and rising geopolitical tensions. While industrial policies are typically employed by higher-income economies, they are also now used more frequently in economies with less administrative and fiscal capacity to implement them.
Read article
IWH Evaluation 2025
IWH Evaluation 2025 Timetable Evaluation (PDF, 250 kB) Profiles of the evaluators and guests (PDF, 1,8 MB) Overview of staff participation and locations for the presentation of…
See page
10th Vintage
The CompNet 10th Vintage Dataset 10th Vintage dataset is now available! The CompNet dataset provides a comprehensive set of micro-aggregated indicators, specifically designed to…
See page
Evaluation of the InvKG and the federal STARK programme
Evaluation of the InvKG and the federal STARK programme Coal Regions Investment Act (InvKG) and the Federal Government’s STARK programme On behalf of the Federal Ministry for…
See page
Centre for Evidence-based Policy Advice
Centre for Evidence-based Policy Advice (IWH-CEP) The Centre for Evidence-based Policy Advice (IWH-CEP) of the IWH was founded in 2014. It is a platform that bundles and…
See page
