6th CompNet Annual Conference
Innovation, firm size, productivity and imbalances in the age of de-globalization 6 th CompNet Annual Conference, June 29-30, 2017, European Commission, Brussels, Belgium As the…
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CompNet & ECB Annual Conference
CompNet & ECB Annual Conference On 22 September 2020, a short online event took place. Please find all material below to be downloaded from the online conference. The coronavirus…
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ProdTalks
CompNet ProdTalks CompNet ProdTalks is a monthly recurring 1.5 hour virtual event, two selected papers will be presented including presentation, discussion and Q&A. The top ic…
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2020 Annual Conference of the OECD Global Forum of Productivity
2020 Annual Conference of the OECD Global Forum of Productivity This year CompNet celebrates its 10th Annual Conference, together with Banque de France as co-host, which will…
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Virtual Conference on Sustainable development, firm performance and competitiveness policies in small open economies
Virtual Conference on Sustainable development, firm performance and competitiveness policies in small open economies This Conference has been jointly organised by CompNet and…
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26.09.2024 • 26/2024
Joint Economic Forecast 2/2024: German economy in transition ‒ weak momentum, low potential growth
The Joint Economic Forecast Project Group forecasts a 0.1% decline in Germany's gross domestic product in 2024. Looking further ahead, the institutes expect a weak recovery with growth of 0.8% (2025) and 1.3% (2026). Compared to the spring forecast, this represents a down-ward revision of 0.2 (2024) and 0.6 (2025) percentage points. “In addition to the economic downturn, the German economy is also being weighed down by structural change,” says Dr Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, head of Forecasting and Economic Policy at the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). “Decarbonisation, digitalisation, and demographic change – alongside stronger competition with companies from China – have triggered structural adjustment processes that are dampening the long-term growth prospects of the German economy.”
Oliver Holtemöller
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Moderate economic growth in the world – German economy continues to stagnate
Konjunktur aktuell,
No. 3,
2024
Abstract
The recent moderate pace of the global economy will continue for the time being. In Europe, the economy is likely to pick up slightly from the winter half-year 2024/2025. In Germany, the sluggish export business in particular is providing a lack of economic impetus. However, private consumption will contribute to a slight economic recovery in the winter half-year. Gross domestic product is likely to stagnate in 2024 and grow by 1.0% in 2025.
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Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft noch in der Defensive – aber erste Anzeichen für ein Ende des Abschwungs
Konjunktur aktuell,
No. 2,
2024
Abstract
Die Aussichten für die internationale Konjunktur bleiben leicht eingetrübt. In Europa setzt sich die zaghafte Erholung fort. In Deutschland vermehren sich die Anzeichen für eine konjunkturelle Besserung. Alles in allem wird die Produktion im Sommerhalbjahr wohl nur verhalten ausgeweitet, doch ab Herbst dürfte die Belebung Fahrt aufnehmen. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte im Jahr 2024 um 0,3% expandieren, für 2025 prognostiziert das IWH einen Zuwachs um 1,5%.
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Internationalisation
Internationalisation The Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH) is responsible for economic research and economic policy advice on a scientific basis. The institute…
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Internationale Konjunkturprognose und konjunkturelle Szenarien für die Jahre 2023 bis 2028
Andrej Drygalla, Oliver Holtemöller, Axel Lindner
IWH Studies,
No. 1,
2024
Abstract
In der vorliegenden Studie werden zunächst die weltweiten konjunkturellen Aussichten für das Ende des Jahres 2023 und für die Jahre 2024 bis 2028 dargestellt. Dabei wird folgender Länderkreis betrachtet: Deutschland, Belgien, Dänemark, Frankreich, Griechenland, Großbritannien, Irland, Italien, Niederlande, Österreich, Polen, Portugal, Norwegen, Schweden, Slowakei, Spanien und Tschechien.
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