ProdTalks
CompNet ProdTalks CompNet ProdTalks is a monthly recurring 1.5 hour virtual event, two selected papers will be presented including presentation, discussion and Q&A. The top ic…
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10th CompNet Annual Conference
10th CompNet Annual Conference This year CompNet celebrates its 10th Annual Conference, together with Banque de France as co-host, which took place in Paris. The topic of the…
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3rd FINPRO - Finance and Productivity Conference
3rd FINPRO - Finance and Productivity Conference A conference jointly organised by the Bank of Italy, CEPR, CompNet, EBRD & IWH. The topic of this year's FINPRO conference was:…
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2020 Annual Conference of the OECD Global Forum of Productivity
2020 Annual Conference of the OECD Global Forum of Productivity This year CompNet celebrates its 10th Annual Conference, together with Banque de France as co-host, which will…
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Virtual Conference on Sustainable development, firm performance and competitiveness policies in small open economies
Virtual Conference on Sustainable development, firm performance and competitiveness policies in small open economies This Conference has been jointly organised by CompNet and…
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8th CompNet Annual Conference
From Micro to Macro: Market Power, Firms’ Heterogeneity and Investment 8th Annual Conference of CompNet, jointly organized with IMF, EIB, ENRI and IWH, March 18-19 2019, European…
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2nd FINPRO - Finance and Productivity Conference
2nd FINPRO - Finance and Productivity Conference A conference jointly organised by the Competitiveness Research Network (CompNet), the European Bank for Reconstruction and…
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26.09.2024 • 26/2024
Joint Economic Forecast 2/2024: German economy in transition ‒ weak momentum, low potential growth
The Joint Economic Forecast Project Group forecasts a 0.1% decline in Germany's gross domestic product in 2024. Looking further ahead, the institutes expect a weak recovery with growth of 0.8% (2025) and 1.3% (2026). Compared to the spring forecast, this represents a down-ward revision of 0.2 (2024) and 0.6 (2025) percentage points. “In addition to the economic downturn, the German economy is also being weighed down by structural change,” says Dr Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, head of Forecasting and Economic Policy at the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). “Decarbonisation, digitalisation, and demographic change – alongside stronger competition with companies from China – have triggered structural adjustment processes that are dampening the long-term growth prospects of the German economy.”
Oliver Holtemöller
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Macroeconomic Reports
Macroeconomic Reports Local and global: IWH regularly provides current economic data - be it about the state of the East German economy, the macroeconomic development in Germany…
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Regional Industrial Effects in Germany from a Potential Gas Deficit
Robert Lehmann, Christoph Schult
German Economic Review,
No. 3,
2024
Abstract
We estimate potential regional industrial effects in case of a threatening gas deficit. For Germany, the reduction leads to a potential decrease in industrial value added by 1.6 %. The heterogeneity across German states is remarkable, ranging from 2.2 % for Rhineland-Palatinate to 0.7 % for Hamburg. We emphasize the need for regional input-output tables to conduct economic analysis on a sub-national level, particularly when regional industrial structures are heterogeneous. The approximation with national figures can lead to results that differ both in magnitude and relative regional exposure. Our findings highlight that more accurate policy guidance can be achieved by improving the regional database.
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