Guiding Theme and Research Profile
Guiding Theme and Research Profile Guided by its mission statement , the IWH places the understanding of the determinants of long term growth processes at the centre of the…
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Contact
Contact Get a quick overview of how to reach us and whom to contact: Postal Address: Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association P.O. Box 11 03…
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04.09.2025 • 26/2025
Recovery on shaky ground – tariffs dampen growth, but a change in fiscal policy is on the way
In late summer 2025, it is still unclear whether the German economy is on the road to recovery, as it has to cope with the dampening effect of higher US tariffs in the second half of the year. It is not until 2026 that fiscal policy stimulus measures, combined with low key interest rates, will probably lead to an economic upturn. According to the autumn forecast of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), production is then expected to increase by 0.8%, following 0.2% in 2025. Similar rates of expansion are also expected for East Germany. In June, the IWH economists were forecasting growth of 1.1% for 2026 and 0.4% for the current year.
Oliver Holtemöller
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Internationalisation
Internationalisation The Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH) is responsible for economic research and economic policy advice on a scientific basis. The institute…
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EVA-KULT
EVA-KULT Establishing Evidence-based Evaluation Methods for Subsidy Programmes in Germany The project aims at expanding the Centre for Evidence-based Policy Advice at the Halle…
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East Germany
The Nasty Gap 30 years after unification: Why East Germany is still 20% poorer than the West Dossier In a nutshell The East German economic convergence process is hardly…
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Alumni
IWH Alumni The IWH maintains contact with its former employees worldwide. We involve our alumni in our work and keep them informed, for example, with a newsletter. We also plan…
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Productivity
Productivity: More with Less by Better Available resources are scarce. To sustain our society's income and living standards in a world with ecological and demographic change, we…
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Macro Data Download
Macro Data Download On this page, you will find long time series of macroeconomic data provided by IWH for download. Please note that most files come with labels and legends in…
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Projects
Our Projects 04.2025 ‐ 03.2030 The Role of Multinational Enterprises in the Global Financial Cycle (Programme for Women Professors) Leibniz-Gemeinschaft Professorin Xiang Li,…
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