13.03.2025 • 10/2025
A turning point for the German economy?
The international political environment has fundamentally changed with looming trade wars and a deteriorating security situation in Europe. The leading parties in Germany are setting the stage for debt-financed additional defence tasks with far-reaching changes to the debt brake. This entails major risks for the German economy, but also opportunities. Meanwhile, the economy continues to be in a downturn. According to the spring forecast of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), gross domestic product (GDP) in 2025 is likely to be roughly the same as in the previous year, and it will not increase significantly until 2026, partly because uncertainty about German economic policy is likely to decrease after the new government is established, meaning that the savings rate of private households will fall again somewhat and the debt-financed additional government spending will gradually have an impact on demand. The IWH economists are forecasting an increase in GDP of 0.1% for 2025. In December, they were still forecasting growth of 0.4% for 2025. The outlook is similar for East Germany, where production is likely to have increased slightly in 2024, unlike in Germany as a whole.
Oliver Holtemöller
Read
Supervisors
Supervisors Ufuk Akcigit Arnold C. Harberger Professor of Economics at University of Chicago. Website Eric Bartelsman Professor of Economics at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and…
See page
12.03.2025 • 9/2025
IWH präsentiert neues Prognose-Dashboard zur deutschen Wirtschaft
Das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) stellt ein umfassendes Daten-Tool bereit, das einen interaktiven Vergleich unterschiedlicher Prognosen für die Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland erlaubt. Entscheider aus Politik und Wirtschaft sowie Interessierte aus Medien, Wissenschaft und Öffentlichkeit können das IWH Forecasting Dashboard kostenfrei nutzen.
Oliver Holtemöller
Read
TSI Concluding Conference – March 17-18, 2025, Berlin
TSI Concluding Conference 17-18 March 2025 in Berlin The TSI Concluding Conference , held in Berlin on March 17–18, 2025 , brought together key stakeholders from across the TSI…
See page
Overview
About the project Project Information: ProdTool – NPB 2.0: Micro-Data Analysis Tool 2.0 for comparative productivity studies at National Productivity Boards (Project acronym:…
See page
Overview
About the project Project Information: Microdata platform for productivity Participating Countries: Slovakia, Slovenia, France, Germany, Portugal, Latvia and Austria. Coordinated…
See page
Project Team
Meet the MULTIMSPROD Project Team The Team for the Microdata platform for productivity includes ... Co-Directors Filippo di Mauro is the Chairman of CompNet and Co-director of the…
See page
4th TSI Workshop
4th TSI Workshop The 4th Technical Support Instrument (TSI) Workshop was a significant event in the TSI program series, focusing on enhancing collaboration among National…
See page
3rd TSI Workshop
Presentations 3rd TSI Workshop Vienna The 3rd TSI Workshop, spanning two days, featured presentations and discussions on various aspects of micro data analysis and the Micro Data…
See page
At a Glance
IWH at a Glance The Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association was founded on January 1, 1992. It is a member of the Leibniz Association. It…
See page
