Economic Outlook
Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2026 Energy Price Shock Dampens Recovery – Inflation Rises April 1, 2026 Although the leading economic research institutes consider the German…
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Halle Institute for Economic Research
Energy Price Shock Dampens Recovery – Inflation Rises Although the leading economic research institutes, in their joint spring forecast, consider the German economy to be in a…
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Gender Equality & Anti-Discrimination
Equal Opportunities at IWH IWH commits to actively promoting equal opportunities for men and women, going beyond already existing guidelines. In 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022 and again…
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Research Articles
Research Articles Explore cutting-edge research based on CompNet’s micro-aggregated firm-level data and related analytical tools. These articles cover empirical and theoretical…
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Archive
Media Response Archive 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 December 2021 IWH: Ausblick auf Wirtschaftsjahr 2022 in Sachsen mit Bezug auf IWH-Prognose zu Ostdeutschland: "Warum Sachsens…
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DPE Courses Archive
DPE Course Programme Archive 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2026 IWH-DPE Foundation Course, CGDE First-year Course Microeconomics II…
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13.03.2025 • 10/2025
A turning point for the German economy?
The international political environment has fundamentally changed with looming trade wars and a deteriorating security situation in Europe. The leading parties in Germany are setting the stage for debt-financed additional defence tasks with far-reaching changes to the debt brake. This entails major risks for the German economy, but also opportunities. Meanwhile, the economy continues to be in a downturn. According to the spring forecast of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), gross domestic product (GDP) in 2025 is likely to be roughly the same as in the previous year, and it will not increase significantly until 2026, partly because uncertainty about German economic policy is likely to decrease after the new government is established, meaning that the savings rate of private households will fall again somewhat and the debt-financed additional government spending will gradually have an impact on demand. The IWH economists are forecasting an increase in GDP of 0.1% for 2025. In December, they were still forecasting growth of 0.4% for 2025. The outlook is similar for East Germany, where production is likely to have increased slightly in 2024, unlike in Germany as a whole.
Oliver Holtemöller
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Supervisors
Supervisors Ufuk Akcigit Arnold C. Harberger Professor of Economics at University of Chicago. Website Eric Bartelsman Professor of Economics at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and…
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12.03.2025 • 9/2025
IWH präsentiert neues Prognose-Dashboard zur deutschen Wirtschaft
Das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) stellt ein umfassendes Daten-Tool bereit, das einen interaktiven Vergleich unterschiedlicher Prognosen für die Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Deutschland erlaubt. Entscheider aus Politik und Wirtschaft sowie Interessierte aus Medien, Wissenschaft und Öffentlichkeit können das IWH Forecasting Dashboard kostenfrei nutzen.
Oliver Holtemöller
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06.03.2025 • 8/2025
IWH-Insolvenztrend: Zahl der Firmenpleiten nochmals angestiegen, aber erste Anzeichen für Trendwende
Wie das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) in einer heute veröffentlichten Analyse feststellt, steigt die Zahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften in Deutschland im Februar nochmals an. Die Frühindikatoren zeigen jedoch, dass die jahrelange Phase steigender Insolvenzzahlen vorerst beendet sein könnte.
Steffen Müller
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