Education, Skills, and the Labour Market
It is undisputed that the human capital of a nation accumulated through schooling and lifelong learning is crucially important to the economy’s innovative capacity and ability to compete in the globalized world of the 21st century. At the individual level, human capital can be regarded as skills that make workers more productive in performing their work tasks and as the knowledge and competencies that enable people to generate and adopt new ideas that spur innovation. At the macroeconomic level, human capital can accelerate economic growth by increasing aggregate productivity and by facilitating the creation and diffusion of new technologies.
One stream of research in the group “Education, Skills, and the Labour Market” deals with the formation of skills. The focus is on family background, formal education, and on-the-job training as determinants of skill development. In terms of family influences, we see substantial intergenerational persistence between parents and children in income, educational attainment, and occupational choices. One source of this persistence is the intergenerational transmission of cognitive skills, as we show using unique Dutch data that link comparable measures of math and language skills over generations.
However, family circumstances are not “self-inflicted” and are beyond the control of the individual; Nobel laureate James J. Heckman coined them “accident of birth”. Thus, differences in family background and support are a source of inequality – the lack of equality of opportunity. We study the effectiveness of policies to support children and youths from disadvantaged families, in particular, early child care and mentoring programmes. However, one fundamental challenge with formally non-selective programmes such as universal child care is that disadvantaged families are often less able to access and utilize these programmes.
In a series of field experiments, we investigate why disadvantaged families are underrepresented in such programmes, focusing on both demand side reasons (e.g., lack of information or difficulties navigating complex application processes) and supply side reasons (e.g., discrimination of educational providers).
Related to our research on economic inequality at the individual level, we also study inequality at the regional level. Regional economic disparities, to a large extent driven by firms located in certain regions, can promote other forms of regional disparities. One such dimension in many western societies is the rise of radical right parties since the late 1980s. We contribute to this discussion by trying to understand the role of firm- und regional-level adjustments to globalization and technological change at the disaggregated European level. Particularly, we study how these significant economic changes affect vote shares of populist and nationalist parties because of the economic hardship caused by these phenomena.
Of particular interest in the research group “Education, Skills, and the Labour Market” is the intersection of labour market, education, and innovation research. As technology is changing the tasks workers perform at the job, automating certain tasks and introducing new tasks in which humans have a comparative advantage, the skills required from workers also change. A series of research projects aims at improving our understanding of the interplay between technology, skill supply, and skill demand.
For instance, we derive novel measures of worker skills by exploiting the unique setting of the German apprenticeship system, which mandates that the same practical and theoretical skills are developed in a particular apprenticeship regardless of the training location in Germany. Linking these skill measures to rich administrative labour market data, we estimate the returns to various types of skills developed during apprenticeship training, such as cognitive, social, digital, and manual skills.
Moreover, the analysis of apprenticeship plan updates will be informative about which types of skills have become more (or less) important over time, and how this interacts with the tasks that new technologies are able to perform. Furthermore, merging workers’ skill supply from apprenticeship plans with firms’ skill demand from online job vacancies allows us to investigate whether returns to skills are systematically higher in firms which require these skills. This will shed light on the complementarities between technologies and skills.
We also investigate the differences in entrepreneurship and business dynamism and their respective contributions to growth between the United States and Germany, particularly focusing on the significance of startups. While startups in the United States are well-known for their innovation and radical advancements, evidence suggests that Germany's innovation is more concentrated within established firms (i.e., incumbents). In a comparative analysis between Germany and the United States, we aim to delve into the preferences of high-skilled individuals for working in startups (vs. incumbents), to better understand the factors influencing startup activity and success in both countries.
In addition to the Germany-U.S. comparison, we will also shed light on the question to what extent the relatively low entrepreneurship rate in East Germany can be explained by individuals’ tastes for working in a startup. Starting from the observation that Germany is highly innovative and competitive despite having few startups, we then discuss how the German economy still maintains high levels of innovativeness and competitiveness.
Workpackage 1: (Unequal) Access to Education and the Formation of Skills
Workpackage 2: Returns to Skills
Workpackage 3: Innovation and Business Dynamism in Germany and the United States
Research Cluster
Productivity and InstitutionsYour contact

- Department Structural Change and Productivity
Refereed Publications

Can Mentoring Alleviate Family Disadvantage in Adolescence? A Field Experiment to Improve Labor-Market Prospects
in: Journal of Political Economy, No. 3, 2024
Abstract
We study a mentoring program that aims to improve the labor-market prospects of school-attending adolescents from disadvantaged families by offering them a university-student mentor. Our RCT investigates program effectiveness on three outcome dimensions that are highly predictive of later labor-market success: math grades, patience/social skills, and labor-market orientation. For low-SES adolescents, the mentoring increases a combined index of the outcomes by over half a standard deviation after one year, with significant increases in each dimension. Part of the treatment effect is mediated by establishing mentors as attachment figures who provide guidance for the future. Effects on grades and labor-market orientation, but not on patience/social skills, persist three years after program start. By that time, the mentoring also improves early realizations of school-to-work transitions for low-SES adolescents. The mentoring is not effective for higher-SES adolescents. The results show that substituting lacking family support by other adults can help disadvantaged children at adolescent age.

Skill Mismatch and the Costs of Job Displacement
in: Research Policy, No. 2, 2024
Abstract
Establishment closures have lasting negative consequences for the workers displaced from their jobs. We study how these consequences vary with the amount of skill mismatch that workers experience after job displacement. Developing new measures of occupational skill redundancy and skill shortage, we analyze the work histories of individuals in Germany between 1975 and 2010. We estimate difference-in-differences models, using a sample of displaced workers who are matched to statistically similar non-displaced workers. We find that displacements increase the probability of occupation change eleven-fold. Moreover, the magnitude of post-displacement earnings losses strongly depends on the type of skill mismatch that workers experience in such job switches. Whereas skill shortages are associated with relatively quick returns to the earnings trajectories that displaced workers would have experienced absent displacement, skill redundancy sets displaced workers on paths with permanently lower earnings. We show that these differences can be attributed to differences in mismatch after displacement, and not to intrinsic differences between workers making different post-displacement career choices.

Exposure to Conflict, Migrations and Long-run Education and Income Inequality: Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina
in: Defence and Peace Economics, No. 8, 2023
Abstract
We investigate the long-term relationship between conflict-related migration and individual socioeconomic inequality. Looking at the post-conflict environment of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), a former Yugoslav state most heavily impacted by the wars of the early 1990s, the paper focuses on differences in educational performance and income between four groups: migrants, internally displaced persons, former external migrants, and those who did not move. The analysis leverages a municipality-representative survey (n ≈ 6,000) that captured self-reported education and income outcomes as well as migration histories. We find that individuals with greater exposure to conflict had systematically worse educational performance and lower earnings two decades after the war. Former external migrants now living in BiH have better educational and economic outcomes than those who did not migrate, but these advantages are smaller for external migrants who were forced to move. We recommend that policies intended to address migration-related discrepancies should be targeted on the basis of individual and family experiences caused by conflict.

Males Should Mail? Gender Discrimination in Access to Childcare
in: American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings, May 2023
Abstract
This study investigates discrimination against women when searching and applying for childcare in a nationwide field experiment. We send emails from fictitious parents to 9,313 childcare centers in Germany inquiring about access to childcare. We randomize whether the email is sent by the child's mother or father. Our results show that women receive shorter and less positive responses than men. The probability of receiving a response does not differ by gender, highlighting the importance of going beyond response rates to detect discrimination. We provide suggestive evidence that regional differences in gender discrimination are related to gender norms.

The Impact of Delay: Evidence from Formal out-of-Court Restructuring
in: Journal of Corporate Finance, February 2023
Abstract
Different types of bankruptcy restructuring procedures are used in most legal systems to decide the fate of businesses facing financial hardship. We study how bargaining failures in an under-researched type of restructuring procedure, a formal out-of-the court procedure impacts the economic performance of participating firms. Croatia introduced a “pre-bankruptcy settlement” (PBS) process in the wake of the Great Recession of 2007–2009. A novel dataset provides us with annual financial statements for both sides of more than 180,000 debtor–creditor pairs, enabling us to address selection into failed negotiations by matching a rich set of creditor and debtor characteristics. Failures to settle at the PBS stage due to idiosyncratic bargaining problems, which effectively delay entry into the standard bankruptcy procedure, lead to a lower rate of survival among debtors as well as reduced employment, revenue, and profits. We are the first study to track how bargaining failures diffuse through the network of creditors, finding a significant negative effect on small creditors, but not others. Our results highlight the impact of delay and the importance of structuring bankruptcy procedures, to rapidly resolve uncertainty about firms’ future prospects.
Working Papers

Does Information about Inequality and Discrimination in Early Child Care Affect Policy Preferences?
in: CESifo Working Paper, No. 10925, 2024
Abstract
We investigate public preferences for equity-enhancing policies in access to early child care, using a survey experiment with a representative sample of the German population (n ≈ 4, 800). We observe strong misperceptions about migrant-native inequalities in early child care that vary by respondents’ age and right-wing voting preferences. Randomly providing information about the actual extent of inequalities has a nuanced impact on the support for equity-enhancing policy reforms: it increases support for respondents who initially underestimated these inequalities, and tends to decrease support for those who initially overestimated them. This asymmetric effect leads to a more consensual policy view, substantially decreasing the polarization in policy support between under- and overestimators. Our results suggest that correcting misperceptions can align public policy preferences, potentially leading to less polarized debates about how to address inequalities and discrimination.

Do Role Models Matter in Large Classes? New Evidence on Gender Match Effects in Higher Education
in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 14, 2023
Abstract
It is well established that female students perform better when taught by female professors. However, little is known about the mechanisms explaining these gender match effects. Using administrative records from a German public university, which cover all programs and courses between 2006 and 2018, we show that gender match effects are sizable in smaller classes, but are absent in larger classes. These results suggest that direct and frequent interactions between students and professors are crucial for gender match effects to emerge. In contrast, the mere fact that one’s professor is female is not sufficient to increase performance of female students.

Where Do STEM Graduates Stem from? The Intergenerational Transmission of Comparative Skill Advantages
in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 13, 2023
Abstract
The standard economic model of occupational choice following a basic Roy model emphasizes individual selection and comparative advantage, but the sources of comparative advantage are not well understood. We employ a unique combination of Dutch survey and registry data that links math and language skills across generations and permits analysis of the intergenerational transmission of comparative skill advantages. Exploiting within-family between-subject variation in skills, we show that comparative advantages in math of parents are significantly linked to those of their children. A causal interpretation follows from a novel IV estimation that isolates variation in parent skill advantages due to their teacher and classroom peer quality. Finally, we show the strong influence of family skill transmission on children’s choices of STEM fields.

Discrimination in Universal Social Programs? A Nationwide Field Experiment on Access to Child Care
in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 12, 2023
Abstract
Although explicit discrimination in access to social programs is typically prohibited, more subtle forms of discrimination prior to the formal application process may still exist. Unveiling this phenomenon, we provide the first causal evidence of discrimination against migrants seeking child care. We send emails from fictitious parents to > 18, 000 early child care centers across Germany, inquiring about slot availability and application procedures. Randomly varying names to signal migration background, we find that migrants receive 4.4 percentage points fewer responses. Replies to migrants contain fewer slot offers, provide less helpful content, and are less encouraging. Exploring mechanisms using three additional treatments, we show that discrimination is stronger against migrant boys. This finding suggests that anticipated higher effort required for migrants partly drives discrimination, which is also supported by additional survey and administrative data. Our results highlight that difficult-to-detect discrimination in the pre-application phase could hinder migrants’ access to universal social programs.

The Value of Early-Career Skills
in: CESifo Working Paper, No. 10288, 2023
Abstract
We develop novel measures of early-career skills that are more detailed, comprehensive, and labor-market-relevant than existing skill proxies. We exploit that skill requirements of apprenticeships in Germany are codified in state-approved, nationally standardized apprenticeship plans. These plans provide more than 13,000 different skills and the exact duration of learning each skill. Following workers over their careers in administrative data, we find that cognitive, social, and digital skills acquired during apprenticeship are highly – yet differently – rewarded. We also document rising returns to digital and social skills since the 1990s, with a more moderate increase in returns to cognitive skills.