Financial System Adaptability and Resilience

Financial Systems differ between countries. Their configuration is sticky and does not change suddenly. A well-functioning financial system is essential for economic development by efficiently allocating capital to the highest net present value projects. However, the resilience of financial systems is frequently challenged. For example, the Great Financial Crisis of 2007/08 was a large blow from within the system: New financial instruments fuelled a credit bubble in the United States' housing markets, which almost brought down the global financial system when it eventually burst. The crisis triggered hefty government interventions and regulatory actions to make financial systems more resilient. More frequently, challenges like the Covid-19 pandemic, the climate crisis and the green transition of economies, and the energy crisis triggered by the war in Ukraine, again highlight the crucial importance of resilient financial systems that adapt themselves and facilitate adequate responses to shocks of the real economy alike. 

This research group investigates three critical aspects of financial system adaptability and resilience. First, it uses the occurrence of major natural disasters in the United States and Germany to analyse the impact of these events on financial systems. Natural disasters are becoming more frequent and more severe because of climate change. Therefore, evidence about the role of banks in providing funding to spur economic recovery is critical. Investigations across different configurations of financial systems, such as bank- vs. market-based economies (e. g., Germany vs. the United States), allow for highlighting which components of financial systems seem better equipped to increase financial systems resiliency. 

Second, the climate crisis requires economies to transform production technologies in order to source sustainable and renewable energy inputs. By using micro-data on German plants and their headquarters' banking relationships and information about the local and federal state leading political parties in Germany, the group aims to investigate the effects of political preferences for the green transition. This group's research will thereby enhance our understanding how climate policies balance the necessary need to reduce emissions with the economic burden imposed on agents during any large-scale transition of societies.

Third, the group's research analyses the role of culture in economies. The idea is that various aspects of culture, like religion, can work as a device that holds societies together and facilitate economic transactions. Using well-established empirical laboratories coming from significant natural disasters (for example, Hurricane Katrina in 2005), the group investigates whether local economies with a higher cultural imprint coming from religion found it easier to recover faster. Other incidents for which culture can play a vital role are big corporate scandals. Using the Volkswagen Scandal from 2015, research by this group analyses the essential role of cultural imprints for consumer reactions in responding to large corporate scandals. This is important since government and regulatory intervention tend to come late or insufficient to punish corporate wrongdoings.  

Workpackage 1:        Development of Financial Systems after Significant Natural Disasters

Workpackage 2:        Financial Systems' Role in the Economies' Green Transition

Workpackage 3:        Cultural Aspects within Financial Systems

Research Cluster
Financial Resilience and Regulation

Your contact

Professor Dr Felix Noth
Professor Dr Felix Noth
- Department Financial Markets
Send Message +49 345 7753-702 Personal page

EXTERNAL FUNDING

08.2022 ‐ 07.2025

OVERHANG: Debt overhang and green investments - the role of banks in climate-friendly management of emission-intensive fixed assets

The collaborative project “Debt Overhang and Green Investments” (OVERHANG) aims to investigate the role of banks in the climate-friendly management of emission-intensive fixed assets. This will identify policy-relevant insights on financial regulation, government-controlled lending and financial stability, as well as raise awareness among indebted stakeholders.

See project page

Professor Michael Koetter, PhD

01.2015 ‐ 12.2019

Interactions between Bank-specific Risk and Macroeconomic Performance

Professor Dr Felix Noth

07.2016 ‐ 12.2018

Relationship Lenders and Unorthodox Monetary Policy: Investment, Employment, and Resource Reallocation Effects

We combine a number of unique and proprietary data sources to measure the impact of relationship lenders and unconventional monetary policy during and after the European sovereign debt crisis on the real economy. Establishing systematic links between different research data centers (Forschungsdatenzentren, FDZ) and central banks with detailed micro-level information on both financial and real activity is the stand-alone proposition of our proposal. The main objective is to permit the identification of causal effects, or their absence, regarding which policies were conducive to mitigate financial shocks and stimulate real economic activities, such as employment, investment, or the closure of plants.

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Professor Michael Koetter, PhD

Refereed Publications

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Borrowers Under Water! Rare Disasters, Regional Banks, and Recovery Lending

Michael Koetter Felix Noth Oliver Rehbein

in: Journal of Financial Intermediation, July 2020

Abstract

We show that local banks provide corporate recovery lending to firms affected by adverse regional macro shocks. Banks that reside in counties unaffected by the natural disaster that we specify as macro shock increase lending to firms inside affected counties by 3%. Firms domiciled in flooded counties, in turn, increase corporate borrowing by 16% if they are connected to banks in unaffected counties. We find no indication that recovery lending entails excessive risk-taking or rent-seeking. However, within the group of shock-exposed banks, those without access to geographically more diversified interbank markets exhibit more credit risk and less equity capital.

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Cross-country Evidence on the Relationship between Regulations and the Development of the Life Insurance Sector

Chrysovalantis Gaganis Iftekhar Hasan Fotios Pasiouras

in: Economic Modelling, July 2020

Abstract

Using a global sample, this study sketches the impact of insurance regulations on the life insurance sector, revealing a significant negative association between supervisory control on policy conditions of life annuities as well as pension products and the development of the industry. A similar inverse relation is observed between the index of capital requirements and insurance development. These results hold when we control for demographic factors, economic factors, religious inclination, culture, as well as for other relevant regulations. We also find some evidence that while the overall supervisory power does not matter, the ability to intervene at an early stage could have a positive effect on insurance development. Additionally, the impact of some regulations appears to differ between advanced and developing countries.

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Credit Allocation when Borrowers are Economically Linked: An Empirical Analysis of Bank Loans to Corporate Customers

Iftekhar Hasan Kristina Minnick Kartik Raman

in: Journal of Corporate Finance, June 2020

Abstract

Using detailed loan level data, we examine bank lending to corporate customers relying on principal suppliers. Customers experience larger loan spreads, higher intensity of covenants and greater likelihood of requiring collateral when they depend more on the principal supplier for inputs. The positive association between the customer’s loan spread and its dependence on the principal supplier is less pronounced when the bank has a prior loan outstanding with the principal supplier, and when the bank has higher market share in the industry. Longer relationships between the customer and its principal supplier, and between the bank and the principal supplier, mitigate lending constraints. The evidence is consistent with corporate suppliers serving as an informational bridge between the lender and the customer.

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Democracy and Credit

Manthos D. Delis Iftekhar Hasan Steven Ongena

in: Journal of Financial Economics, No. 2, 2020

Abstract

Does democratization reduce the cost of credit? Using global syndicated loan data from 1984 to 2014, we find that democratization has a sizable negative effect on loan spreads: a 1-point increase in the zero-to-ten Polity IV index of democracy shaves at least 19 basis points off spreads, but likely more. Reversals to autocracy hike spreads more strongly. Our findings are robust to the comprehensive inclusion of relevant controls, to the instrumentation with regional waves of democratization, and to a battery of other sensitivity tests. We thus highlight the lower cost of loans as one relevant mechanism through which democratization can affect economic development.

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Bank Accounting Regulations, Enforcement Mechanisms, and Financial Statement Informativeness: Cross-country Evidence

Augustine Duru Iftekhar Hasan Liang Song Yijiang Zhao

in: Accounting and Business Research, No. 3, 2020

Abstract

We construct measures of accounting regulations and enforcement mechanisms that are specific to a country's banking industry. Using a sample of major banks in 37 economies, we find that the informativeness of banks’ financial statements, measured by the value relevance of earnings and common equity, is higher in countries with stricter bank accounting regulations and countries with stronger enforcement. These findings suggest that superior bank accounting and enforcement mechanisms enhance the informativeness of banks’ financial statements. In addition, we find that the effects of bank accounting regulations are more pronounced in countries with stronger enforcement in the banking industry, suggesting that enforcement is complementary to bank accounting regulations in achieving higher value relevance of financial statements. Our study has important policy implications for bank regulators.

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Working Papers

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Corporate Governance Structures and Financial Constraints in Multinational Enterprises – An Analysis in Selected European Transition Economies on the Basis of the IWH FDI Micro Database 2013 –

Andrea Gauselmann Felix Noth

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 3, 2015

Abstract

In our analysis, we consider the distribution of decision power over financing and investment between MNEs’ headquarters and foreign subsidiaries and its influence on the foreign affiliates’ financial restrictions. Our research results show that headquarters of multinational enterprises have not (yet) moved much decision power to their foreign subsidiaries at all. We use data from the IWH FDI Micro Database which contains information on corporate governance structures and financial restrictions of 609 enterprises with a foreign investor in Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania and East Germany. We match data from Bureau van Dijk’s AMADEUS database on financial characteristics. We find that a high concentration of decision power within the MNE’s headquarter implicates high financial restrictions within the subsidiary. Square term results show, however, that the effect of financial constraints within the subsidiary decreases and finally turns insignificant when decision power moves from headquarter to subsidiary. Thus, economic policy should encourage foreign investors in the case of foreign acquisition of local enterprises to leave decision power within the enterprise and in the case of Greenfield investment to provide the newly established subsidiaries with as much power over corporate governance structures as possible.

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