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Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Frühjahr 2003

The global economy is in the midst of a phase of weakness. In the course of next year, at the earliest, GDP will in many regions expand a little faster than potential output. The German economy, even, remains in a phase of prolonged weakness. In the second half of this year an economic recovery is expected to start here. However, it will proceed only slowly. Aggregate capacity utilisation will continue to decline, and the state of the labour market will deteriorate further. Although the recovery will firm next year and domestic demand will rise slightly, economic growth in Germany will continue to lack dynamism.

15. April 2003

Authors DIW Berlin HWWA ifo Institut München IfW Kiel RWI Essen IWH

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