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Gunnar Myrdal an the Persistence of Germany’s Regional Inequality
John B. Hall, Udo Ludwig
Journal of Economic Issues, 2009
Abstract
This paper seeks to establish that contributions to regional theory advanced by Gunnar Myrdal exhibit high levels of explanatory power when clarifying challenges facing Germany’s eastern region since the fall oft the Berlin Wall. Myrdal’s institutionalist contribution is contrasted with the „convergence hypothesis“ advanced by R. Barro and X. Sala-i-Marin. Challenged is their prediction that Germany’s eastern region would experience relatively higher annual rates of per capita output growth, and that levels of per capita output would converge between the eastern and western regions over time. Myrdal’s approach is argued superior as it allows for considering backwash and spread effects within a framework of circular and cumulative causation, emerging between Germany’s western and eastern regions.
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Bank Regulation and Supervision in Bank-dominated Financial Systems: A Comparison between Japan and Germany
Diemo Dietrich, Ralf Bebenroth, Uwe Vollmer
European Journal of Law and Economics, 2009
Abstract
This paper compares bank regulation and supervision in Japan and Germany. We consider these countries because they both have bank-dominated financial systems and their banking systems are often lumped together as one model, yet, bank stability differs significantly. We show that Japan and Germany have chosen different approaches to bank regulation and supervision and ask why they made their choices. We argue that bank regulation and supervision were less efficient in Japan than in Germany and that these differences were decisive for bank behavior.
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Forecasting Currency Crises: Which Methods signaled the South African Crisis of June 2006?
Tobias Knedlik, Rolf Scheufele
South African Journal of Economics, 2008
Abstract
In this paper we test the ability of three of the most popular methods to forecast South African currency crises with a special emphasis on their out-of-sample performance. We choose the latest crisis of June 2006 to conduct an out-of-sample experiment. The results show that the signals approach was not able to forecast the out-of-sample crisis correctly; the probit approach was able to predict the crisis but only with models, that were based on raw data. The Markov-regime- switching approach predicts the out-of-sample crisis well. However, the results are not straightforward. In-sample, the probit models performed remarkably well and were also able to detect, at least to some extent, out-of-sample currency crises before their occurrence. The recommendation is to not restrict the forecasting to only one approach.
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Grenzen des Wettbewerbs im Gesundheitswesen
Ingmar Kumpmann
Sozialer Fortschritt, 2008
Abstract
Many health economists demand more competition in the health-care system. They focus on the competition between the individual health-insurance funds for those who want such insurance as well as on the competition between health-care providers for contracts with the health-insurance funds. However, they neglect the competition between health-care providers for patients; such competition is crucial for medical quality. This latter area of competition is in conflict with the two former ones. The empirical evidence on the effects of competition on cost and quality are also ambiguous. Thus, the mere appeal for „more competition“ does not do justice to the highly complex nature of the health-care system.
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Neoclassical versus Keynesian approaches to Eastern German unemployment: a rejoinder to Merkl and Snower
Udo Ludwig, John B. Hall
Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, No. 1, 2008
Abstract
This rejoinder contrasts a Keynesian approach for explaining unemployment in Germany’s eastern region with a neoclassical, market-failure approach advanced by Christian Merkl and Dennis Snower: A skewed distribution of headquarters favoring the western region, combined with insufficient levels of effictive demand for output – and subsequently for labor – are argued to be the key causes of persistent unemployment. Seven tables offer a comparative approach to output, investment, and labor demand in Germany’s eastern and western regions, noting the emergence and persistence of „involuntary“ unemployment appearing as a jobs‘ gap in the eastern region, especially for services.
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Has the International Fragmentation of German Exports Passed its Peak?
Udo Ludwig, Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch
Intereconomics, No. 3, 2008
Abstract
In the second half of the nineties the import content of German exports increased considerably. The article examines whether this trend has continued up to the present. A second question concerns the purpose of the imports. Are they intermediate inputs for the production of export goods or imports destined for immediate re-exports? Finally, it must be asked whether these events are singular: Is only Germany among the industrially developed West European countries affected by this development, or are other nations also? These issues are studied by means of tables and the standard static open model of input-output-analysis.
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Continuity and Continuousness: The Chain of Ideas Linking Peirce’s Synechism with Veblen’s Cumulative Causation
John B. Hall, O. Whybrow
Journal of Economic Issues, 2008
Abstract
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Die Einführung von Kapitalverkehrskontrollen mit Korruptionsabsichten
Makram El-Shagi
List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik, No. 4, 2007
Abstract
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Korruption, Institutionen und Einkommensniveau
Makram El-Shagi
Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, 2007
Abstract
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Inflation and the Divergence of Relative Prices: Evidence from a Cointegration Analysis
Juliane Scharff
AStA - Advances in Statistical Analysis, No. 2, 2007
Abstract
The relation between inflation and RPV plays a prominent role in explaining the costs of inflation. This study investigates whether the CPI subcategories drift apart more over a period of high inflation rates than during one of low inflation. The wider dispersion of the subcategories is reflected in an increasing number of common stochastic trends in the system of sub price indices. The results for US data as well as for cross-country comparisons indicate that the influence of inflation on the dispersion of relative prices cannot be revealed by counting cointegrating relations. Thus, the number of stochastic trends or cointegrating relations is not a reliable indicator for the distorting effect of inflation on the dispersion of relative prices.
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