Low-paid employment relationships: high numbers, low volume
Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 6,
2001
Abstract
The labour market situation can be judged using figures of persons engaged and/or of the total number of man-hours worked. Concerning marginal part-time jobs the number of person engaged ist less informative: Although in 2000 more than ten per cent of persons had a marginal part-time job, the total number of man-hours worked representing the marginal part-time jobs amounts to 2,6 % of the volume of work in the economy on the whole. Nevertheless in some branches of economic activity marginal part-time jobs are of great importance.
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Employment threshhold shows declining trend
Christian Dreger, Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 4,
2001
Abstract
The paper estimates Okuns law for countries of the eurozone using paneleconometric methods. Based on the results the minimum growth rate needed for a reduction in unemployment is calculated. In the period under investigation, the minimum growth rate has declined. Actually unemployment will be reduced through economic growth, and the minmum growth rates are lower than in the past. However growth must be accompanied by structural reforms in the labor market.
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Employment in Germany´s environmental sector. An empirical analysis based on the IAB company panel
Jens Horbach, Uwe Blien, Michael von Hauff
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 132,
2001
Abstract
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Methodical limits of calculating productivity in the new Länder
Gerald Müller
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 129,
2000
Abstract
The „Arbeitskreis Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung der Länder“ now publishes figures concerning the value added in Germany. Formerly the Statistische Bundesamt had this assignment. Some corporations have plant locations in the new Länder as well as in the old Länder. The employed method for splitting-up the value added produce by these corporations might lead to an underestimation of the overall value added produced in the new Länder. However, an estimation using the firm panel of the IAB shows that the East German productivity gap for manufacturing is overestimated by maximally two percentage points. Still in sectors that are dominated by multi plant corporations this effect is stronger. All in all the East German productivity gab is overestimated by maximally three percentage points.
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Moderate production and employment effects through rising crude oil prices – A simulation with the macroeconomic IWH model –
Christian Dreger
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 15,
2000
Abstract
In the article the impacts of a rise in oil prices on production and employment are examined. The impacts are carried out by simulation on the grounds of a macroeconometric model. Given various price developments, the effects on production and employment are less pronounced than those in previous crisis. In the worst case scenario, output losses are 0.4 percentage points of the overall growth rate of the economy.
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East German economy 2000 and 2001: Further growth in overall production despite new slump in construction industry
Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, Brigitte Loose, Udo Ludwig
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 12,
2000
Abstract
For the first time the main economic indicators for East Germany are presented in terms of the New European System of National Accounts (ESA)up to 1999. Insights are given into the sectoral composition of gross domestic product and employment. The article presents forecasts for 2000 und 2001 for the sectors “manufacturing“, “construction“ and “services“.
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Efficiency of qualification and job creating measures in East Germany
Annette Bergemann, Birgit Schultz
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 9,
2000
Abstract
This paper evaluates job creation schemes and further training in East Germany for the period 1990-1998. We identify the causal effect of the treatment-on-the-treated by a two-step procedure: First, we apply the matching technique based on estimated propensity scores. Secondly, we use the Difference-in-Differences estimator. Hereby, we take especially consideration on Ashenfelter s Dip, which characterize a significant decrease in the participants employment shortly before the start of a program. This can be assumed to be related to the anticipation of the participation.
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Reduction of transfer payments to East Germany: Contractive effects only in the short term
Joachim Ragnitz, Christian Dreger
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 7,
2000
Abstract
By applying a macroeconometric model, the effects of a substantial reduction of transfers for the New Laender are studied. It is argued that in the short run convergence will be hampered severely if transfers are reduced abruptly; however, in the long the negative effects on the East German economy can be ignored.
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Demography is not the anchor – A commentary
Hilmar Schneider
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 7,
2000
Abstract
Der Kommentar wendet sich gegen die verbreitete Erwartung, dass mit dem absehbaren Bevölkerungsrückgang eine Entlastung am Arbeitsmarkt eintreten wird. Die zunehmende Erwerbsbeteiligung von Frauen und die steigende Kostenbelastung durch künftig steigende Beitragsbelastungen aus der Gesetzlichen Renten- und Krankenversicherung dürften den Bevölkerungseffekt weitgehend kompensieren.
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Current trends – Distance of employment participation rate increases further
Hilmar Schneider
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 5,
2000
Abstract
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