Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)

Europakarte_verkleinert_getty-images-Ol8czmPH4YE-unsplash.jpg

IWH President Reint Gropp joins EU expert group on research and innovation policy

Reint Gropp was appointed to the European Commission’s ESIR expert group. ESIR provides independent, evidence based advice on the economic and societal impact of research and innovation to support forward looking EU policymaking.

Read more
treppe-aufwaerts-rot_maksym-ostrozhynskyy-w6OniVDCfn0-unsplash.jpg

Compliance with the EU fiscal rules requires extensive consolidation

The IWH mid-term projection on macroeconomic developments up to the year 2040 shows that, under unchanged fiscal policies, public debt can be expected to continue rising.

Read more
Ein rot-weiß gestreifter Windsack, halb herabhängend, steht auf einer Grasebene vor einer Bergkulisse.

Slight upturn on the horizon, structural problems remain

As the year draws to a close, it remains uncertain whether the German economy is on a path to recovery, as export weakness persisted through the autumn. Nevertheless, a slight upturn is forecast for 2026, supported by fiscal stimulus and rising real incomes. According to the IWH winter forecast, output is projected to grow by 1.0% in 2026, after an increase of just 0.2% in 2025.

Read more
jesse-orrico-IdjxBF_StBk-unsplash.jpg

20 years after Katrina: How the new start succeeded

In the summer of 2005, Katrina and other hurricanes caused one of the worst natural disasters in the history of the USA. The economic recovery has been more successful in areas with large numbers of church members, an IWH study shows.

Read More
Applauding on a business seminar!

“Best Research Environment 2024”: IWH Financial Markets Department among the winning teams

The IWH Financial Markets Department is one of ten scientific teams to receive the inaugural “Best Research Environment” award. The Junge Akademie and the Volkswagen Foundation are awarding the prize for the first time this year.

Read more
Arzt mit Stetoskop

Private ownership boosts hospital performance

New research shows that private equity (PE) acquisitions lead to substantial operational efficiency gains in hospitals, challenging common public concerns. The study reveals that hospitals acquired by PE firms significantly reduce costs without harming patient care.

Read more
Lichtqualle_luke-jones-JcEEIM963oM-unsplash.jpg

IWH founds a European centre for microdata research

The Halle Institute is once again growing significantly. Its new "Centre for Business and Productivity Dynamics" aims to understand better the structural change in Europe's economies. Microdata at firm level allow deeper insights into productivity, a prerequisite for prosperity.

Read more
Legokoepfe_carson-arias-7Z03R1wOdmI-unsplash_beschnitten.jpg

Chinese mass imports strengthen extreme parties

Globalisation has led to an increase in votes for the political fringes in Europe. A study by the Halle Institute is the first to show the long-term consequences of increased Chinese imports: Far-right and populist parties have benefited from the China shock.

Read more
EREI_stephen-leonardi-XKIO6ZgCObo-unsplash_verkleinert.jpg

New database on Europe's real estate markets

Exclusively for non-commercial scientific purposes, the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI) provides a comprehensive overview of residential property offers for sale and rent in 18 European countries.

Read more
cut_yehor-milohrodskyi-syuhhPwu-hk-unsplash.jpg

Solidarity with Ukraine

The Alliance of Science Organisations in Germany draws consequences for academia.

Read more
Ein Heißluftballon schebt im blauen Himmel.

The Halle Spirit

We provide independent research on economic topics that aim to enrich society with facts and evidence-based insights that facilitate better economic decisions. We focus on growth and productivity. We promote young talents and work in flat hierarchies.

To the IWH mission statement

What are you interested in?

Research Networks, Data and Policy Advice

Press Releases

14.01.2026 • 2/2026

Compliance with the EU fiscal rules requires extensive consolidation – Medium-term projection of macroeconomic developments and public finances in Germany

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

Germany faces considerable structural burdens from both macroeconomic and fiscal perspectives, as potential growth is likely to be significantly lower than in past decades. A projection by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) on macroeconomic developments up to the year 2040 shows that, under unchanged fiscal policies, public debt can be expected to continue rising. The federal government's fiscal-structural plan assumes compliance with EU requirements, but this is only achievable under the assumption of high global spending cuts that have not yet been specified in detail.

Read

08.01.2026 • 1/2026

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Firmenpleiten 2025 auf höchstem Stand seit zwei Jahrzehnten

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Wie das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) in einer heute veröffentlichten Analyse feststellt, stieg die Zahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften in Deutschland im Dezember wieder deutlich an. Im Gesamtjahr 2025 gab es so viele Firmenpleiten wie seit 20 Jahren nicht mehr.

Read

11.12.2025 • 34/2025

Slight upturn on the horizon, structural problems remain

Professor Dr Oliver Holtemöller
Abstract

As the year draws to a close, it remains uncertain whether the German economy is on a path to recovery, as export weakness persisted through the autumn. Nevertheless, a slight upturn is forecast for 2026, supported by fiscal stimulus and rising real incomes. According to the winter forecast of the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), output is projected to grow by 1.0% in 2026, after an increase of just 0.2% in 2025. In September, the IWH economists had predicted growth of 0.8% for 2026 and 0.2% for the current year. According to this forecast, the pace of expansion in East Germany is expected to be slightly slower, mainly due to demographic factors.

Read

09.12.2025 • 33/2025

IWH-Insolvenztrend: Erster Rückgang der Insolvenzzahlen seit Jahren – aber keine Trendwende

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

Wie das Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) in einer heute veröffentlichten Analyse feststellt, ist die Zahl der Insolvenzen von Personen- und Kapitalgesellschaften in Deutschland im November deutlich gesunken. Erstmals seit dreieinhalb Jahren liegen die monatlichen Fallzahlen wieder unter dem Niveau des entsprechenden Vorjahresmonats. Eine Trendwende bedeutet dies allerdings noch nicht.

Read

Media Centre

Facts and Figures

Publications

Current Events

Veranstaltung
03
Feb 2026

14:15 - 15:45

IWH Research Seminar

AI as an Innovation in the Method of Innovation: Implications for Productivity Growth in the US and Europe

Jonathan Haskel  Imperial College London
View event
Browse all events

IWH at a Glance

106
IWH people
18
nations
20
research groups
Mitglied der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft LogoTotal-Equality-LogoSupported by the BMWK