Economy Recovers from the Shutdown – But a Quick Return to Pre-crisis Normality is Unlikely

The German economy has bounced back strongly over the summer, recovering a considerable part of the production slump caused by the shutdown in spring. Nevertheless, real gross domestic product in 2020 is likely to contract by 5.7%. In 2021, growth is expected to average 3.2% according to IWH autumn economic forecast.

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IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies hit new low

Considerably faster than the official statistics, the IWH Bankruptcy Update provides a monthly update on corporate bankruptcy. The number of bankruptcies sinks to a new low in August, and markedly fewer employees are subject to employer bankruptcies in Germany.

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IWH issues warning of a new banking crisis

The coronavirus recession could mean the end for dozens of banks across Germany – even if Germany survives the economic crisis relatively unscathed. IWH President Reint Gropp warns of a potentially high additional burden for the already weakened real economy.

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IWH hosts award-winning US economist

The renowned Max Planck-Humboldt Research Award 2019 goes to Ufuk Akcigit, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. At the IWH, Akcigit aims to use innovative methods to investigate why the economy in eastern Germany is still lagging behind that in western Germany – and what role the privatisation process 30 years ago played in this.

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United by Inequality

How is Germany’s economy faring 30 years after the reunification? An IWH publication analyses how the country’s unification has progressed. The study presents many new findings, including on productivity differences between east and west, urban and rural development, as well as the availability of skilled labour.

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IWH leads large scale EU project on productivity

Is productivity growth slowing in industrialised countries? And if so, why? From the start of 2019, the IWH will be addressing these decisive questions as the leading coordinator of a new European research collaboration: MICROPROD is the largest EU project in the history of the institute.

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During the period 1994 to 2009, similar workers earned about 5 percent higher wages in works council firms than in firms without a works council.

Press Releases

16.09.2020 • 18/2020

Economy recovers from the shutdown – but a quick return to pre-crisis normality is unlikely

Abstract

The German economy has bounced back strongly over the summer, recovering a considerable part of the production slump caused by the shutdown in spring. Nevertheless, real gross domestic product in 2020 is likely to contract by 5.7%. In 2021, growth is expected to average 3.2% according to IWH autumn economic forecast. The decline in production in 2020 is likely to be less pronounced in East Germany com¬pared to Germany as a whole.

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07.09.2020 • 17/2020

IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies Hit New Low; New Outlook Feature

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

The number of companies reporting bankruptcy in Germany sank to a new low in August. Associated job losses also declined noticeably, following marked increases in prior months. Published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research, the IWH Bankruptcy Update provides monthly statistics on corporate bankruptcies in Germany. Starting this month, the update will also feature a two-month outlook.

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18.08.2020 • 16/2020

IWH-Gutachten: Regionalförderung wirkt, sollte aber weiter verbessert werden

Abstract

Deutschlands wichtigstes Instrument der Regionalpolitik fördert Arbeitsplätze, erhöht Betriebsumsätze und moderat auch die Löhne; es hat jedoch keine positiven Effekte auf die Produktivität. Das zeigt ein Gutachten zur Wirkung der Bund-Länder-Gemeinschaftsaufgabe „Verbesserung der regionalen Wirtschaftsstruktur“ (GRW), verfasst vom Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH). Daher empfehlen die Ökonomen, die Förderziele stärker auf die Produktivität auszurichten, denn nur so kann das Förderziel, dass die geförderten Regionen wirtschaftlich aufholen, erreicht werden.

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06.08.2020 • 15/2020

IWH Bankruptcy Update: Number of Employees Affected by Bankruptcy Continues to Rise in Germany

Professor Dr Steffen Müller
Abstract

In July, more than three times as many jobs were impacted by corporate bankruptcies in Germany in comparison to the monthly averages from early 2020. The July figure was also significantly higher in relation to the previous month. By contrast, the number of bankruptcies fell slightly. These are the main findings of the most recent IWH Bankruptcy Update published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), which provides monthly reports on German bankruptcies.

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