Measurement of Contagion in Banks' Equity Prices
Reint E. Gropp, G. Moerman
Journal of International Money and Finance,
No. 3,
2004
Abstract
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banks’ risk to examine within-country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banks’ risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper examines whether the observed frequency of large shocks experienced by two or more banks simultaneously is consistent with the assumption of a multivariate normal or a student t distribution. Further, the paper proposes a simple metric, which is used to identify contagion from one bank to another and identify “systemically important” banks in the EU.
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Innovation cooperation: experiences from East and West Germany
Jutta Günther
Science and Public Policy,
2004
Abstract
This paper deals with innovation cooperation as a means to support the ongoing catch-up process of the East German economy. Against prevalent beliefs, it can be shown that East German enterprises are more often involved in innovation co-operation than West German firms, and differences in cooperation partner priorities only reflect the given structural differences between the two regions. While cooperating enterprises in East and West Germany are clearly more innovative than their non-cooperating counterparts, a productivity advantage of these firms is (so far) only observable in West Germany. Reasons for this surprising finding are discussed.
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A model of private households´ consumption expenditure on the basis of representative income and consumption statistics
Harald Lehmann
Schriften des IWH,
No. 16,
2004
Abstract
The accurate measurement of the level and composition of private consumption is one of the crucial tasks of official statistics. There are different ways of measurement that have to be compared and assessed. In the following, a comparison between a supplier side based and a consumers side based measurement (household budget surveys) shows, that the the later one still has some drawbacks. Additionally the household budget surveys are used for microeconometric consumption analysis. Recommendations, potentials and drawbacks will be worked out.
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Evaluation of Further Training Programmes with an Optimal Matching Algorithm
Eva Reinowski, Birgit Schultz, Jürgen Wiemers
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 188,
2004
Abstract
This study evaluates the effects of further training on the individual unemployment duration of different groups of persons representing individual characteristics and some aspects of the economic environment. The Micro Census Saxony enables us to include additional information about a person's employment history to eliminate the bias resulting from unobservable characteristics and to avoid Ashenfelter's Dip. In order to solve the sample selection problem we employ an optimal full matching assignment, the Hungarian algorithm. The impact of participation in further training is evaluated by comparing the unemployment duration between participants and non-participants using the Kaplan-Meier-estimator. Overall, we find empirical evidence that participation in further training programmes results in even longer unemployment duration.
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The development of R&D intensive industries in East Germany makes progress
Siegfried Beer
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 2,
2004
Abstract
For East Germany – also called the New German Länder – it is very important to enlarge human capital intensive production. Starting from this consideration, the empirical study investigates the development of research & development (R&D) intensive industries for the years 1998 to 2002 whereby the different technology classes are also taken into account. The study is based on official statistics for producer goods. The analysis shows that the production of goods from R&D intensive industries increased stronger than the total production in East Germany’s manufacturing industry (8.5% versus 5.9%). Especially the increased production of high-technology goods contributed to this development. Most important branches thereby are electronic industry and aerospace industry. Medium-tech industries were less important for the above described trend. Overall, the development indicates an improvement of the technological capability of East Germany’s manufacturing industry. Compared to West Germany, however, the production of goods from medium-tech industries is underrepresented. Further more, it is only one group of products in East Germany’s industry that plays a dominant role within Germany as a whole. This is electronic devices.
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The economic structure of the largest East German cities: economic differences increase
Cordula Winkler
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 2,
2004
Abstract
Especially large cities come into appearance within the field of interregional competition, while trying to attract enterprises and mobile production factors. Against this background, the paper examines the economic stage of development of the largest East German cities. In addition to the actual situation we have a look at the development of cities since the middle of the 90ies. Relating to the actual economic situation, the findings show great economic differences between cities. Nevertheless, none of the large cities have taken on a leading position for all considered indicators. Instead of this each large city has its own specific strengths and weaknesses – compared with the other large cities as well as compared with East Germany on the whole. In addition, a comparison with the situation in 1995 shows, that the degree of differentiation between cities has increased. This development goes along with a strengthening of specific economic profiles, particularly in smaller large cities.
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“Law on loyalty to collectively agreed standards“ - no means for adjusting competitive conditions in construction industry
Andrea Besenthal
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 2,
2004
Abstract
Due to the increasing competition from abroad which is able to offer services for lower prices because of lower wage standards the stress of competition intensifies in Germany. With regard to West Germany the East German companies - paying lower wages – represent an immediate business competition. The supporter of the Tariftreuegesetze (laws concerning the construction industry which restrict public contracts only to contractors who pay union wages) see the laws` advantage in eliminating the existing differences in competitive conditions, which emerge from differences on the wage level. The IWH study concludes that the named wage laws do not seem necessary from an economic point of view.
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Women´s attitudes towards employment and to employment and family
Andrea Besenthal, Cornelia Lang
Wirtschaft im Wandel,
No. 1,
2004
Abstract
In East and West Germany women’s labour participation differs despite extensively harmonised institutional parameters since Reunification. In West Germany the number of working women rose in recent years; In East Germany women’s employment rate fell slightly while still remaining on a rather high level. These regional distinctions can be explained by the different employment patterns in the GDR and former FRG. In addition the varying financial household situations and different supply with child care facilities play a major role.
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Information or Regulation: What Drives the International Activities of Commercial Banks?
Claudia M. Buch
Journal of Money Credit,
No. 6,
2003
Abstract
Information costs and regulatory barriers distinguish international financial markets from national ones. Using panel data on bilateral assets and liabilities of commercial banks, I empirically determine the impact of information, costs and regulations, and I isolate intra-EU financial linkages. I confirm that information costs and regulations are important factors influencing international asset choices of banks, but their relative importance differs among countries.
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The national German innovation system. Its development in different governmental and territorial structures
Hariolf Grupp, Iciar Dominguez Lacasa, Monika Friedrich-Nishio
The international handbook on innovation,
2003
Abstract
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