Wohin steuert die EU? – Politische Mehrheitsverhältnisse nach der Osterweiterung
Götz Zeddies
Wirtschaftsdienst,
Nr. 10,
2004
Abstract
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Umsetzung der EU-Emissionshandelsrichtlinie
Walter Hyll, A. Köppl, S. Schleicher
WIFO-Monatsberichte 4/2004,
2004
Abstract
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Trends and gaps in biotechnology policies in European Member States since 1994.
Iciar Dominguez Lacasa, Thomas Reiss, J.M. Senker
Science and Public Policy,
Nr. 5,
2004
Abstract
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The Distance Puzzle: On the Interpretation of the Distance Coefficient in Gravity Equations
Claudia M. Buch, J. Kleinert, Farid Toubal
Economics Letters,
Nr. 3,
2004
Abstract
Although globalization has diminished the importance of distance, empirical gravity models find little change in distance coefficients. We argue that changing distance costs are largely reflected in the constant term. A proportional fall in distance costs is consistent with constant distance coefficients.
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Performance of European Member States in biotechnology.
Thomas Reiss, S. Hinze, Iciar Dominguez Lacasa
Science and Public Policy,
Nr. 5,
2004
Abstract
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Zur Rolle der Kommunen in der Daseinsvorsorge am Beispiel der Wasserversorgung
Birger Nerré
Die Rolle der Kommunen in der Wasserwirtschaft – Hallesches Kolloquium zur Kommunalen Wirtschaft 2005. Schriftenreihe des IWH, Bd. 25,
2007
Abstract
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Unterbeschäftigung als Schicksal: Geht den frühindustrialisierten Gesellschaften tatsächlich die Arbeit aus?
Ulrich Blum
Hauptsache Arbeit!?,
2007
Abstract
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National Report of Denmark
Iciar Dominguez Lacasa
Inventory and analysis of national public policies that stimulate research in biotechnology, its exploitation and commercialisation by industry in Europe in the period 2002–2005,
2007
Abstract
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National Report of Croatia
Iciar Dominguez Lacasa
Inventory and analysis of national public policies that stimulate research in biotechnology, its exploitation and commercialisation by industry in Europe in the period 2002–2005,
2007
Abstract
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The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster's Perspective
Katja Drechsel, Rolf Scheufele
Kredit und Kapital,
Nr. 1,
2012
Abstract
This paper analyses the recession in 2008/2009 in Germany. This recession is very different from previous recessions in particular regarding their causes and magnitude. We show to what extent forecasters and forecasts based on leading indicators fail to detect the timing and the magnitude of the recession. This study shows that large forecast errors for both expert forecasts and forecasts based on leading indicators resulted during this recession which implies that the recession was very difficult to forecast. However, some leading indicators (survey data, risk spreads, stock prices) have indicated an economic downturn and hence, beat univariate time series models. Although the combination of individual forecasts provides an improvement compared to the benchmark model, the combined forecasts are worse than several individual models. A comparison of expert forecasts withthe best forecasts based on leading indicators shows only minor deviations. Overall, the range for an improvement of expert forecasts in the crisis compared to indicator forecasts is small.
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